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Edmonton Oilers at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV BSAZ+, SNW·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Utah Mammoth 5-3. The Coyotes scored first; the Oilers answered. The Oilers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Leon Draisaitl's goal at 10:53 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 47% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 5.2 to 1.7; shots on goal were EDM 44, ARI 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 86% of the time. Mikko Koskinen stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 1.3 goals below expected; Scott Wedgewood stopped 39 of 43 (.907). Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (2 G, 2 A), 2. Connor McDavid (2 G, 2 A), 3. Clayton Keller (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid2 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    C. Keller1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM114114316544
ARIARI1130628327

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:45
  2. EDM
    C. McDavid(13)PPG
    wristxG 0.10win prob +10 pts
    1-1
    14:58

2nd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.25win prob +19 pts
    2-1
    10:53

3rd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.05win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    7:45
  2. EDM
    wristxG 0.14win prob +2 pts
    4-1
    13:08
  3. ARI
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +2 pts
    4-2
    13:43
  4. ARI
    wristxG 0.10win prob +10 pts
    4-3
    15:06
  5. EDM
    wristxG 0.89win prob +3 pts
    5-3
    19:32

Penalties

EDM 4 PIM·ARI 8 PIM

1st

  • 4:15EDMPhilip Broberg · Cross checkingdrawn by Dysin Mayo2 min
  • 5:27ARIKyle Capobianco · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min
  • 10:58EDMZach Hyman · High stickingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min
  • 14:09ARIAntoine Roussel · Roughingdrawn by Evan Bouchard2 min
  • 17:59ARITravis Boyd · Slashingdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min

3rd

  • 12:01ARIJakob Chychrun · Holdingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalEDM goalFinal: ARI 0%

Biggest swing: Leon Draisaitl, 2nd 10:53 — EDM 47% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.16C. Keller · Goal · xG 0.11P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.10S. Gostisbehere · Goal · xG 0.10P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.09T. Boyd · Goal · xG 0.09J. Jenik · On goal · xG 0.08B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.08L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.08B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.08L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.08J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.07P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.07P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.07A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.05C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.05B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.05L. Eriksson · On goal · xG 0.04C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.04J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.01I. Lyubushkin · On goal · xG 0.01A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.01A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.01D. Mayo · On goal · xG 0.01L. O'Brien · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.00L. Eriksson · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI3 G · 1.7 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsARI
5.24 G
All situations
3 G1.7
3.02 G
Even strength
3 G1.2
1.22 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM86%14%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.19 – 1.71

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsARI
44
Shots on goal
27
58%
Faceoffs
42%
2/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
19
Hits
22
7
Blocked shots
8
4
Giveaways
6
9
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
29L. DraisaitlC224+281.202005623:26
97C. McDavidC224+261.483003623:17
6K. RussellD000+200.00330—22:56
5C. CeciD011010.04010—22:46
22T. BarrieD022020.06110—22:07
86P. BrobergD000-110.01102—21:29
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000-170.421007119:55
18Z. HymanL000-140.3610210017:51
44Z. KassianR123+251.01000—16:46
56K. YamamotoR000-110.04000—16:04
75E. BouchardD000020.03110—15:19
13J. PuljujarviR000010.15000—12:11
37W. FoegeleL000010.00000—11:21
70C. SceviourC000-110.142105511:06
84W. LagessonD000-120.03100—10:59
8K. TurrisC000-100.00100010:27
71R. McLeodC000000.080006710:04
16T. BensonL000-120.13200—08:16
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
19M. Koskinen(W)27243.8891.72-1.2859:40

Season series

EDM leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).