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Edmonton Oilers at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV BSAZ, SNW·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Utah Mammoth 5-1. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zach Hyman's goal at 6:31 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 61% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 2.2 to 1.7; shots on goal were EDM 31, ARI 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Mikko Koskinen stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 26 of 31 (.839), 2.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (2 G, 1 A), 2. Zach Hyman (2 G), 3. Dysin Mayo (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    Z. Hyman2 G
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    D. Mayo1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM19211211531
ARIARI0110918128

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    18:02

2nd period

  1. EDM
    Z. Hyman(2)SHG
    wristxG 0.08win prob +19 pts
    2-0
    6:31
  2. EDM
    wristxG 0.09win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    8:53

3rd period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.01win prob +7 pts
    3-1
    1:25
  2. EDM
    Z. Hyman(3)PPG
    backhandxG 0.23win prob +3 pts
    4-1
    9:05
  3. EDM
    wristxG 0.08
    5-1
    10:58

Penalties

EDM 18 PIM·ARI 4 PIM

1st

  • 18:29EDMZack Kassian · Elbowingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min

2nd

  • 3:19EDMserved by J. Puljujarvi · Delaying game bench face off violation2 min
  • 5:27EDMEvan Bouchard · Holdingdrawn by Christian Fischer2 min

3rd

  • 8:18ARIJakob Chychrun · Trippingdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min
  • 10:47ARINick Schmaltz · High stickingdrawn by Kyle Turris2 min
  • 16:17EDMZack Kassian · Slashingdrawn by Lawson Crouse2 min
  • 16:17EDMZack Kassian · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalEDM goalFinal: ARI 0%

Biggest swing: Zach Hyman, 2nd 6:31 — EDM 61% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Boyd · On goal · xG 0.19D. Jaskin · On goal · xG 0.13R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.12D. Mayo · On goal · xG 0.12J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.11S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.11D. Jaskin · On goal · xG 0.11J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.09D. Jaskin · On goal · xG 0.09P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.06C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.06R. Dzingel · Missed · xG 0.04A. Ladd · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.04D. Jaskin · Missed · xG 0.03C. Timmins · Missed · xG 0.03A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.03R. Dzingel · Missed · xG 0.03L. Eriksson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.02D. Jaskin · On goal · xG 0.02P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.02A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.02J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.01D. Mayo · Goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01D. Mayo · On goal · xG 0.01A. Stralman · Missed · xG 0.01L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.00L. Eriksson · On goal · xG 0.00A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI1 G · 1.7 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsARI
2.25 G
All situations
1 G1.7
1.52 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
0.52 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM61%39%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.23 – 1.68

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsARI
31
Shots on goal
28
56%
Faceoffs
44%
2/2
Power play
0/4
18
Penalty minutes
4
24
Hits
25
10
Blocked shots
14
6
Giveaways
10
11
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000+130.20820—24:55
5C. CeciD000020.11510—21:49
2D. KeithD000040.04120—21:12
22T. BarrieD022030.18000—19:35
75E. BouchardD011+140.09002—18:21
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC033+120.251105018:19
29L. DraisaitlC000+100.110005017:31
18Z. HymanL202030.42000—16:05
37W. FoegeleL101+120.17000—15:57
97C. McDavidC213020.250105515:29
13J. PuljujarviR011010.11000—15:08
56K. YamamotoR000020.04110—14:25
10D. RyanC000+110.051006714:19
20S. KoekkoekD000+200.01020—13:11
44Z. KassianR011+100.005014—12:31
14D. ShoreC000000.001008312:02
8K. TurrisC000020.220006710:57
42B. PerliniL000000.00100—10:14
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
19M. Koskinen(W)28271.9641.71+0.7160:00

Season series

EDM leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).