Skip to content

Utah Mammoth at St. Louis Blues

FinalTV BSAZ, BSMW·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the St. Louis Blues 3-2. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Barrett Hayton's goal at 13:52 of the third period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 56% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.7 to 1.9; shots on goal were ARI 23, STL 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Scott Wedgewood stopped 34 of 36 (.944), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Barrett Hayton (2 G), 2. Ryan O'Reilly (2 A), 3. Phil Kessel (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    B. Hayton2 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    R. O'Reilly2 A
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    P. Kessel1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI1111913323
STLSTL11419013236

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    7:37
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    17:57

2nd period

  1. ARI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.17win prob +20 pts
    2-1
    11:35
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.03win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    14:58

3rd period

  1. ARI
    B. Hayton(2)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +30 pts
    3-2
    13:52

Penalties

ARI 8 PIM·STL 6 PIM

1st

  • 3:10ARIShayne Gostisbehere · Cross checkingdrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min
  • 5:38STLIvan Barbashev · Trippingdrawn by Kyle Capobianco2 min
  • 9:05ARIAlex Galchenyuk · High stickingdrawn by Tyler Bozak2 min

2nd

  • 12:08ARIDysin Mayo · Slashingdrawn by Brandon Saad2 min
  • 14:46STLKlim Kostin · Cross checkingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min
  • 14:46ARIClayton Keller · Cross checkingdrawn by Klim Kostin2 min

3rd

  • 13:29STLBrandon Saad · Trippingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalARI goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Barrett Hayton, 3rd 13:52 — ARI 56% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.12D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.11R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.11V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.11P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.11T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.10R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.10B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.10V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.10V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.09J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.09J. Kyrou · Goal · xG 0.09V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.09J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.08P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.08R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.08B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.07J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.07V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.07R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.07I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.07K. Kostin · On goal · xG 0.06J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.06P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.06V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.05C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.05D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.05B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.04T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.04T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.04J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.04P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.04C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.04J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.03T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.03T. Krug · Goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.03R. Bortuzzo · Missed · xG 0.02S. Perunovich · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.02R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.01M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.00
STL2 G · 2.7 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsSTL
1.93 G
All situations
2 G2.7
1.41 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.32 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI35%65%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.88 – 2.70

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsSTL
23
Shots on goal
36
48%
Faceoffs
52%
2/2
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
14
Hits
7
12
Blocked shots
8
5
Giveaways
9
10
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. ChychrunD000-220.05110—24:47
14S. GostisbehereD011+120.03002—23:25
46I. LyubushkinD000-200.00010—22:21
9C. KellerR000-120.17022—20:36
67L. CrouseL011-120.47000—20:15
61D. MayoD000+110.00112—20:08
29B. HaytonC202020.270105017:54
72T. BoydC000-100.001005617:50
81P. KesselR011+110.06000—17:33
83J. BeagleC000010.181005017:33
17A. GalchenyukC011010.1701210015:52
54C. DineenD000000.00010—14:45
75K. CapobiancoD101030.15010—14:40
21L. ErikssonL000010.08000—12:44
26A. RousselL000030.16220—12:44
38L. O'BrienC000010.07300007:13
73J. JenikC000010.02310005:56
24H. FaschingR000000.00200—05:44
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31S. Wedgewood(W)36342.9442.73+0.7360:00

Season series

STL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).