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Stars at Flames
NHL

Dallas Stars at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
▸4
Calgary Flames
3
Final/OTTV BSSW, SNW·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Calgary Flames 4-3 in overtime, Jamie Benn scoring at 2:59. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jamie Benn's goal at 2:59 of overtime, which took the Stars' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 2.8 to 2.3; shots on goal were DAL 28, CGY 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Anton Khudobin stopped 30 of 33 (.909); Jacob Markstrom stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Miro Heiskanen (3 A), 2. Nikita Zadorov (1 G, 1 A), 3. Tyler Seguin (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    M. Heiskanen3 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    N. Zadorov1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    T. Seguin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DALDAL1101711011428
CGYCGY092151801333

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    D. Gurianov(2)PPG
    M. Heiskanen (6), R. Suter (4)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    14:09

2nd period

  1. CGY
    M. Lucic(3)
    N. Zadorov (1), E. Gudbranson (4)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +21 pts
    1-1
    15:13
  2. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(5)PPG
    E. Lindholm (5), R. Andersson (7)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +20 pts
    1-2
    18:41
  3. DAL
    B. Comeau(1)
    M. Raffl (2), M. Heiskanen (7)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +24 pts
    2-2
    19:54

3rd period

  1. DAL
    T. Seguin(4)
    A. Radulov (4), M. Heiskanen (8)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +25 pts
    3-2
    1:34
  2. CGY
    N. Zadorov(1)
    O. Kylington (5), J. Markstrom (1)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +35 pts
    3-3
    16:03

Overtime

  1. DAL
    J. Benn(2)
    J. Pavelski (3), J. Klingberg (2)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    2:59

Penalties

DAL 10 PIM·CGY 8 PIM

1st

  • 4:56CGYAndrew Mangiapane · Trippingdrawn by Joe Pavelski2 min
  • 12:55CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min

2nd

  • 16:50DALJani Hakanpää · Holdingdrawn by Tyler Pitlick2 min
  • 17:43DALBlake Comeau · High stickingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min

3rd

  • 7:46CGYMatthew Tkachuk · High stickingdrawn by John Klingberg2 min
  • 12:26DALLuke Glendening · Trippingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
  • 14:42DALJamie Benn · High stickingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
  • 15:48CGYJacob Markstrom · Delaying game illegal play by goalie2 min
  • 16:03DALAlexander Radulov · Slashingdrawn by Oliver Kylington2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalDAL goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Jamie Benn, OT 2:59 — DAL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.26B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.17M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.17E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.16M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.16E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.13M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.13E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.11M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.11E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.10M. Lucic · Goal · xG 0.10E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.10M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.09M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.08S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.07J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.07D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.07E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.07E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.07D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.06N. Zadorov · Goal · xG 0.06E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.05T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.05E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.04E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.03E. Gudbranson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.02M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.02S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.02S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01O. Kylington · Missed · xG 0.01M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.00M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY3 G · 2.8 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsCGY
2.34 G
All situations
3 G2.8
1.93 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
0.31 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL42%58%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.29 – 2.75

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsCGY
28
Shots on goal
33
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/3
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
8
19
Hits
20
15
Blocked shots
5
11
Giveaways
13
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD033+230.29010—25:22
23E. LindellD000+100.03220—21:19
3J. KlingbergD011-110.03000—20:50
20R. SuterD011-210.02010—20:22
12R. FaksaC000020.051005016:57
24R. HintzC000-130.394106016:32
14J. BennL101+120.151024016:19
91T. SeguinC101010.101005516:10
55T. HarleyD000+110.14010—16:07
2J. HakanpääD000010.00002—15:59
11L. GlendeningC000+110.261025015:24
47A. RadulovR011-130.18112—15:04
16J. PavelskiC011+110.102203814:53
18M. RafflL011+120.08200—14:43
21J. RobertsonL000030.22010—14:41
34D. GurianovR101020.23130—14:20
15B. ComeauL101+110.04102—14:09
25J. KivirantaL000000.00220—10:34
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35A. Khudobin(W)33303.9092.80-0.2062:59

Season series

CGY leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).