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Los Angeles Kings at St. Louis Blues

FinalTV BSW, BSMW·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Los Angeles Kings 3-0. The Blues scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vladimir Tarasenko's goal at 3:08 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 52% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.4 to 2.2; shots on goal were LAK 34, STL 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Ville Husso stopped 34 of 34 (1.000), 2.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Vladimir Tarasenko (2 G), 2. Ville Husso (34 saves, 1.000), 3. Robert Thomas (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    V. Tarasenko2 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    V. Husso34 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    STL
    R. Thomas1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK07012015034
STLSTL01803314335

Scoring

3 goals

3rd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.12win prob +25 pts
    0-1
    3:08
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.14win prob +9 pts
    0-2
    15:31
  3. STL
    wristxG 0.54
    0-3
    18:45

Penalties

LAK 4 PIM·STL 6 PIM

1st

  • 16:17LAKVladimir Tkachev · Hookingdrawn by Jake Neighbours2 min

2nd

  • 7:21STLJake Neighbours · Interferencedrawn by Carl Grundstrom2 min

3rd

  • 4:54STLBrayden Schenn · Hookingdrawn by Rasmus Kupari2 min
  • 8:44STLPavel Buchnevich · Hookingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min
  • 16:16LAKAnze Kopitar · Trippingdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalLAK goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Vladimir Tarasenko, 3rd 3:08 — STL 52% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.54M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.21P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.17D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.16R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.16V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.15P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.13J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.13D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.12V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.12R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.11D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.10V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.10R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.10V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.10J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.10R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.09D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.09V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.09K. Kostin · On goal · xG 0.08C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.06J. Neighbours · Missed · xG 0.05J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.05T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.05D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.05R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.04T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.04J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.03V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.03V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.02D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.02D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.02B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.02J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.01T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.01D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.01J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.00J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.00
STL3 G · 3.4 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsSTL
2.20 G
All situations
2 G3.4
1.40 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
0.80 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK38%62%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.21 – 2.86

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsSTL
34
Shots on goal
35
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
14
Hits
21
13
Blocked shots
7
3
Giveaways
6
8
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3M. RoyD000040.10210—28:45
2A. EdlerD000-110.08150—24:18
11A. KopitarC000-120.121024120:26
7T. BjornfotD000010.04010—20:10
33V. ArvidssonL000-160.25000—19:18
44M. AndersonD000-210.05020—18:20
23D. BrownR000-150.33100—18:18
19A. IafalloL000-120.23100—17:33
71A. StrandD000-100.00010—16:10
12T. MooreL000000.00110—16:03
24P. DanaultC000-140.190106015:54
34A. KaliyevR000040.21000—14:36
21V. TkachevL000000.00002—14:35
13G. VilardiC000-210.100004012:23
89R. KupariC000010.181002211:43
9A. KempeR000-320.311006711:39
91C. GrundstromR000-200.02310—10:18
26S. WalkerD000000.00200—05:56
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Quick(L)34322.9412.90+0.9059:35

Season series

STL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).