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Los Angeles Kings at St. Louis Blues

FinalTV BSW, BSMW·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Los Angeles Kings 7-3. The Kings scored first; the Blues answered. The Blues led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ivan Barbashev's goal at 18:47 of the first period, which took the Blues' chances from 49% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 4.0 to 2.7; shots on goal were LAK 35, STL 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Cal Petersen stopped 33 of 40 (.825), 3.0 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 32 of 35 (.914). Three stars: 1. David Perron (3 G, 1 A), 2. Torey Krug (3 A), 3. Jake Neighbours (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    D. Perron3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    T. Krug3 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Neighbours1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK113012210335
STLSTL213314213740

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    11:29
  2. STL
    D. Perron(3)PPG
    slapxG 0.09win prob +10 pts
    1-1
    14:36
  3. STL
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    18:47

2nd period

  1. STL
    deflectedxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    0:45
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.13win prob +9 pts
    1-4
    2:37
  3. STL
    snapxG 0.18win prob +3 pts
    1-5
    7:06

3rd period

  1. STL
    J. Neal(1)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.11
    1-6
    0:38
  2. LAK
    wristxG 0.09
    2-6
    1:33
  3. LAK
    wristxG 0.12win prob +1 pts
    3-6
    5:53
  4. STL
    D. Perron(5)PPG
    slapxG 0.18
    3-7
    11:40

Penalties

LAK 14 PIM·STL 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:46LAKPhillip Danault · Hookingdrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min
  • 14:26LAKGabriel Vilardi · Trippingdrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min
  • 18:07STLColton Parayko · Hookingdrawn by Dustin Brown2 min

2nd

  • 6:09LAKAlexander Edler · Hookingdrawn by Colton Parayko2 min
  • 9:24LAKRasmus Kupari · Trippingdrawn by Justin Faulk2 min
  • 16:38STLTorey Krug · Trippingdrawn by Trevor Moore2 min
  • 17:12LAKViktor Arvidsson · Trippingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
  • 19:15LAKPhillip Danault · Trippingdrawn by Klim Kostin2 min

3rd

  • 3:11STLColton Parayko · Trippingdrawn by Alex Iafallo2 min
  • 10:03LAKAlexander Edler · Interferencedrawn by Robert Bortuzzo2 min
  • 12:32STLTyler Bozak · Holdingdrawn by Rasmus Kupari2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalLAK goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Ivan Barbashev, 1st 18:47 — STL 49% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.22B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.18R. O'Reilly · Goal · xG 0.18D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.18R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.17D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.14V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.14J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.14D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.13J. Neighbours · Goal · xG 0.13J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.12J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.11V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.11V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.11J. Neal · Goal · xG 0.11T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.10B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.10T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.09R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.09D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.09C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.09J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.09B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.08D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.08D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.07J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.07R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.06T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.06V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.05J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.05J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.05J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.05I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.05J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.05J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.05B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.05I. Barbashev · Goal · xG 0.03J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.03K. Kostin · Missed · xG 0.03M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.03I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.02V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.02C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.02M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.02T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.02D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.02T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.02T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.01T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.00
STL7 G · 4.0 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsSTL
2.73 G
All situations
7 G4.0
2.53 G
Even strength
2 G2.5
0.20 G
Power play
4 G1.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK31%69%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.71 – 3.96

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsSTL
35
Shots on goal
40
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/4
Power play
4/7
14
Penalty minutes
8
7
Hits
17
13
Blocked shots
7
3
Giveaways
7
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3M. RoyD000-110.10030—21:43
26S. WalkerD011+130.14010—20:19
44M. AndersonD000000.00000—18:47
6O. MaattaD000-110.09020—18:27
2A. EdlerD022+240.06104—18:16
7T. BjornfotD000000.00010—16:42
24P. DanaultC000020.051246416:35
11A. KopitarC000-110.051204216:19
12T. MooreL000030.11010—16:10
19A. IafalloL101-150.64000—16:01
46B. LizotteC011+100.001106715:02
33V. ArvidssonL011010.16002—15:01
23D. BrownR101010.09000—13:55
34A. KaliyevR000-160.60000—13:44
9A. KempeR000020.22100—13:33
89R. KupariC000+100.000024413:28
13G. VilardiC000-120.150022513:20
91C. GrundstromR101+130.26200—12:31
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40C. Petersen(L)40337.8253.96-3.0460:00

Season series

STL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).