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Avalanche at Blues
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸5
St. Louis Blues
1
FinalTV USA, ALT·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the St. Louis Blues 5-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Newhook's goal at 12:37 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 67% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.2 to 1.9; shots on goal were COL 26, STL 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan Graves (1 G, 2 A), 2. Tyler Bozak (1 G), 3. Philipp Grubauer (31 saves, .969).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    R. Graves1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    T. Bozak1 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    P. Grubauer31 saves, .969

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL0531229526
STLSTL0911706132

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. COL
    R. Graves(1)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    1:57
  2. COL
    A. Newhook(1)
    R. Graves (2), V. Nichushkin (1)
    slapxG 0.22win prob +18 pts
    2-0
    12:37
  3. COL
    T. Jost(1)
    M. Rantanen (5), G. Landeskog (5)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +9 pts
    3-0
    16:08
  4. STL
    T. Bozak(1)SHG
    R. O'Reilly (1), C. Parayko (1)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +7 pts
    3-1
    16:17

3rd period

  1. COL
    B. Saad(2)
    A. Burakovsky (1), C. Soderberg (1)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +2 pts
    4-1
    13:42
  2. COL
    J. Compher(1)EN
    R. Graves (3), P. Bellemare (1)
    wristxG 0.46
    5-1
    19:06

Penalties

COL 8 PIM·STL 10 PIM

1st

  • 6:49STLBrayden Schenn · Interferencedrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 8:41COLSamuel Girard · Trippingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
  • 19:49STLIvan Barbashev · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Graves2 min
  • 19:49COLRyan Graves · Roughingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min

2nd

  • 9:53STLSammy Blais · Interferencedrawn by Samuel Girard2 min
  • 16:08STLserved by V. Tarasenko · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

3rd

  • 3:13STLBrayden Schenn · Hookingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 10:06COLNathan MacKinnon · Interferencedrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min
  • 17:36COLGabriel Landeskog · Holdingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalCOL goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Alex Newhook, 2nd 12:37 — COL 67% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.15V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.15J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.14I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.13J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.12M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.08C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.08C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.07B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.06R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.06R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.06V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.05V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.05C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.05T. Bozak · Goal · xG 0.05N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.05M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.05J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.04C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.04I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.04M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.04M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.04I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.03T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.03M. Reinke · On goal · xG 0.02S. Santini · On goal · xG 0.02J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.02I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.02S. Santini · Missed · xG 0.02S. Santini · On goal · xG 0.02T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.02T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.01S. Santini · On goal · xG 0.01T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.01T. Bozak · Missed · xG 0.01M. Reinke · On goal · xG 0.00C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.00
STL1 G · 1.9 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsSTL
3.24 G
All situations
1 G1.9
2.44 G
Even strength
0 G1.4
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL66%34%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.75 – 1.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsSTL
26
Shots on goal
32
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/4
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
10
20
Hits
46
17
Blocked shots
10
9
Giveaways
16
2
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. ToewsD000+100.04110—22:50
49S. GirardD000+120.01112—22:35
8C. MakarD000020.31100—22:30
96M. RantanenR011+140.84200—21:36
92G. LandeskogL011020.263224421:22
29N. MacKinnonC000-130.190125820:42
27R. GravesD123+440.24122—18:42
24P. NemethD000+300.01330—18:24
37J. CompherL101+310.461003815:32
72J. DonskoiR000-100.00100—15:00
13V. NichushkinR011+210.03200—13:46
20B. SaadL101+120.36000—13:20
95A. BurakovskyL011+110.01110—13:13
17T. JostC101+120.260105713:04
41P. BellemareL011+110.012208311:32
22C. TimminsD000+100.00020—10:23
34C. SoderbergC011000.00000008:59
18A. NewhookC101+110.22110008:32
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(W)32311.9691.90+0.9059:58

Series

COL leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).