Skip to content
Blues at Avalanche
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
1
Colorado Avalanche
▸4
FinalTV NBCSN, ALT·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the St. Louis Blues 4-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nathan MacKinnon's goal at 0:30 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 53% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 4.8 to 1.8; shots on goal were STL 23, COL 50. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 46 of 49 (.939), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Gabriel Landeskog (1 G, 2 A), 2. Nathan MacKinnon (2 G, 1 A), 3. Cale Makar (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    G. Landeskog1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    C. Makar1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL0511107123
COLCOL118014318450

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    C. Makar(1)PPG
    M. Rantanen (1)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    15:15

2nd period

  1. STL
    J. Kyrou(1)
    I. Barbashev (1), R. Thomas (1)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +21 pts
    1-1
    16:31

3rd period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(1)
    M. Rantanen (2), G. Landeskog (1)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +23 pts
    1-2
    0:30
  2. COL
    G. Landeskog(1)
    N. MacKinnon (1), S. Girard (1)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    8:30
  3. COL
    N. MacKinnon(2)EN
    G. Landeskog (2)
    wristxG 0.94
    1-4
    19:20

Penalties

STL 11 PIM·COL 9 PIM

1st

  • 10:47COLGabriel Landeskog · Fightingdrawn by Brayden Schenn5 min
  • 10:47STLBrayden Schenn · Fightingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog5 min
  • 14:04STLRyan O'Reilly · Trippingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min

2nd

  • 1:00STLJustin Faulk · Slashingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min
  • 7:10COLRyan Graves · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 10:21STLSammy Blais · Hookingdrawn by Andre Burakovsky2 min

3rd

  • 5:32COLRyan Graves · Trippingdrawn by Sammy Blais2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalSTL goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Nathan MacKinnon, 3rd 0:30 — COL 53% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.94N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.32N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.26J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.25N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.18T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.14B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.13V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.13J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.12B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.11M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.10C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.10G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.10D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.09A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.08M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.08M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.08T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.08G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.08A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.07J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.06G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.06T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.06V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.06V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.06D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.05J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.05N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.05G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · Goal · xG 0.04P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.03R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.02R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.02V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.02P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.01V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.01T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.01T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.01V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.00N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.00P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.00
COL4 G · 4.8 xG · 61 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsCOL
1.81 G
All situations
3 G4.8
1.51 G
Even strength
2 G3.0
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL19%81%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.77 – 3.76

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsCOL
23
Shots on goal
50
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/2
Power play
1/3
11
Penalty minutes
9
21
Hits
16
19
Blocked shots
15
8
Giveaways
7
8
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55C. ParaykoD000-100.02120—23:56
90R. O'ReillyC000-320.151226222:05
72J. FaulkD000-130.08312—21:51
47T. KrugD000-230.05130—21:48
6M. ScandellaD000-100.00110—20:05
10B. SchennC000-310.17305019:36
17J. SchwartzL000-230.09010—18:58
91V. TarasenkoR000-210.36000—16:21
68M. HoffmanC000-130.1710010015:32
41R. BortuzzoD000+100.00350—15:29
21T. BozakC000000.000104115:25
49I. BarbashevL011+110.230006015:12
18R. ThomasC011+110.131105014:40
25J. KyrouR101+130.22010—13:32
77N. MikkolaD000+100.02110—11:31
12Z. SanfordL000000.002003311:09
9S. BlaisL000000.05102—10:15
13K. CliffordL000020.06200—08:16
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(L)49463.9393.82+0.8259:08

Series

COL leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).