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Hurricanes at Predators
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
1
Nashville Predators
▸3
FinalTV BSSO·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Carolina Hurricanes 3-1. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Luke Kunin's goal at 12:27 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 2.6 to 1.5; shots on goal were CAR 22, NSH 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 27 of 29 (.931); Juuse Saros stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Luke Kunin (2 G), 2. Juuse Saros (21 saves, .955), 3. Mikael Granlund (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    L. Kunin2 G
  2. ★★
    NSH
    J. Saros21 saves, .955
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    M. Granlund2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR070817122
NSHNSH09111210330

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. NSH
    L. Kunin(9)
    M. Granlund (13), M. Ekholm (17)
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +20 pts
    0-1
    12:27

3rd period

  1. NSH
    L. Kunin(10)
    M. Granlund (14), R. Ellis (13)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    7:41
  2. CAR
    M. Geekie(3)
    S. Lorentz (6), M. McCormick (1)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    9:07
  3. NSH
    E. Haula(9)EN
    C. Jarnkrok (15)
    wristxG 0.54win prob +6 pts
    1-3
    18:57

Penalties

CAR 6 PIM·NSH 2 PIM

1st

  • 3:01CARWarren Foegele · Trippingdrawn by Alexandre Carrier2 min
  • 6:42CARAndrei Svechnikov · Cross checkingdrawn by Ben Harpur2 min
  • 8:58NSHYakov Trenin · Roughingdrawn by Brady Skjei2 min

2nd

  • 5:34CARVincent Trocheck · Trippingdrawn by Colton Sissons2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalCAR goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Luke Kunin, 2nd 12:27 — NSH 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Haula · Goal · xG 0.54C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.16C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.16M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.15L. Kunin · Goal · xG 0.15F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.15C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.11C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.11L. Kunin · Goal · xG 0.10M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.08L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.07R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.07E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.07C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.05B. Richardson · On goal · xG 0.05E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.04E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.04M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.04R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.03Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.03C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.03E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.02B. Harpur · On goal · xG 0.02C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.02M. Benning · Missed · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.02B. Richardson · On goal · xG 0.01F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.01C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.01A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.01B. Richardson · Missed · xG 0.01R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.00E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH3 G · 2.6 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsNSH
1.51 G
All situations
2 G2.6
1.51 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR38%62%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.52 – 2.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsNSH
22
Shots on goal
30
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
14
Hits
23
6
Blocked shots
16
4
Giveaways
8
10
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24J. BeanD000000.01120—23:37
22B. PesceD000+110.01010—22:36
76B. SkjeiD000-120.07110—22:19
58J. HakanpääD000-110.02100—22:11
19D. HamiltonD000-320.07100—20:57
20S. AhoC000-330.201004017:32
71J. FastR000000.00100—16:46
13W. FoegeleL000000.03002—16:39
86T. TeravainenC000-330.26000016:30
11J. StaalC000010.101106816:07
16V. TrocheckC000-110.031025015:41
88M. NecasC000010.09200015:15
21N. NiederreiterR000030.20200—14:00
37A. SvechnikovR000-320.19102—13:52
67M. GeekieC101+120.24100011:30
78S. LorentzC011+100.000005611:11
28M. McCormickL011+100.00000—11:03
74J. SlavinD000000.00010—07:13
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39A. Nedeljkovic(L)29272.9312.10+0.1059:01

Season series

CAR leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).