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Hurricanes at Predators
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
0
Nashville Predators
▸5
FinalTV BSSO·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Carolina Hurricanes 5-0. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Duchene's goal at 4:29 of the first period, which took the Predators' chances from 66% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.4 to 2.0; shots on goal were CAR 30, NSH 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 22 of 27 (.815), 1.6 goals below expected; Pekka Rinne stopped 30 of 30 (1.000), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Pekka Rinne (30 saves, 1.000), 2. Matt Duchene (2 G), 3. Tanner Jeannot (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    P. Rinne30 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NSH
    M. Duchene2 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    T. Jeannot1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR010010010030
NSHNSH21221015527

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    R. Grimaldi(10)SHG
    T. Jeannot (2)
    backhandxG 0.25win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    2:51
  2. NSH
    M. Duchene(5)
    Y. Trenin (6), R. Johansen (15)
    backhandxG 0.23win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    4:29

2nd period

  1. NSH
    M. Duchene(6)
    B. Richardson (3), N. Cousins (13)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    4:19
  2. NSH
    R. Johansen(7)PPG
    F. Forsberg (20), D. Fabbro (10)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +3 pts
    0-4
    12:08

3rd period

  1. NSH
    T. Jeannot(5)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.12
    0-5
    0:57

Penalties

CAR 17 PIM·NSH 17 PIM

1st

  • 1:58NSHTyler Lewington · Cross checkingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 5:59CARMax McCormick · Cross checkingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
  • 8:38NSHYakov Trenin · High stickingdrawn by Joey Keane2 min
  • 13:56NSHTyler Lewington · Fightingdrawn by Max McCormick5 min
  • 13:56CARMax McCormick · Fightingdrawn by Tyler Lewington5 min

2nd

  • 10:08NSHMathieu Olivier · Elbowingdrawn by Joakim Ryan2 min
  • 11:09CARSebastian Aho · Slashingdrawn by Matt Benning2 min
  • 12:12CARJordan Martinook · High stickingdrawn by Mathieu Olivier2 min
  • 16:45CARVincent Trocheck · Elbowingdrawn by David Farrance2 min
  • 20:00NSHMatt Benning · Roughingdrawn by Morgan Geekie2 min
  • 20:00NSHErik Gudbranson · Roughingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
  • 20:00NSHErik Gudbranson · Roughingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
  • 20:00CARMorgan Geekie · Roughingdrawn by Matt Benning2 min
  • 20:00CARNino Niederreiter · Roughingdrawn by Erik Gudbranson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalCAR goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Matt Duchene, 1st 4:29 — NSH 66% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Grimaldi · Goal · xG 0.25T. Lewington · On goal · xG 0.25M. Duchene · Goal · xG 0.23M. Olivier · On goal · xG 0.17R. Johansen · Goal · xG 0.16M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.15R. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.15T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.13T. Jeannot · Goal · xG 0.12N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.12M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.10E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.10Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.09M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.09N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.08J. Davies · Missed · xG 0.08R. Grimaldi · Missed · xG 0.07M. McCarron · Missed · xG 0.07B. Richardson · On goal · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.06B. Richardson · On goal · xG 0.06M. Duchene · Goal · xG 0.06Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.06R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.05R. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.05D. Farrance · On goal · xG 0.05E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.05D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.04T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.04T. Jeannot · Missed · xG 0.04F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.04E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.03M. Benning · Missed · xG 0.03D. Farrance · On goal · xG 0.03E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.03J. Davies · On goal · xG 0.02T. Lewington · Missed · xG 0.02N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.02T. Lewington · Missed · xG 0.02E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Davies · On goal · xG 0.01M. Benning · Missed · xG 0.01
NSH5 G · 3.4 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsNSH
2.00 G
All situations
5 G3.4
1.20 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
0.80 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
2 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR27%73%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.95 – 3.31

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsNSH
30
Shots on goal
27
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/4
Power play
1/4
17
Penalty minutes
17
14
Hits
22
7
Blocked shots
10
9
Giveaways
4
2
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24J. BeanD000040.17020—20:30
51J. GardinerD000-310.05000—20:28
44J. KeaneD000-110.05200—19:34
58J. HakanpääD000-100.00020—19:05
76B. SkjeiD000-110.01320—18:21
33J. RyanD000010.02000—18:13
78S. LorentzC000-210.191103617:39
48J. MartinookL000-210.067023317:10
88M. NecasC000-250.36000016:55
16V. TrocheckC000-210.021026916:36
71J. FastR000-120.30000—16:10
21N. NiederreiterR000020.06002—15:12
13W. FoegeleL000-110.10000—14:45
67M. GeekieC000020.230023313:33
29D. ShoreC000020.060001413:18
20S. AhoC000-230.180025013:08
28M. McCormickL000000.000075011:49
86T. TeravainenC000-220.12000010:35
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34P. Mrazek(L)27225.8153.35-1.6560:00

Season series

CAR leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).