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Edmonton Oilers at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV ESPN+, SNP·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Vancouver Canucks 4-1. The Canucks scored first; the Oilers answered. The Oilers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Leon Draisaitl's goal at 17:25 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 49% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 3.0 to 2.4; shots on goal were EDM 27, VAN 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Thatcher Demko stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (2 G), 2. Connor McDavid (2 A), 3. Nils Hoglander (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl2 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid2 A
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    N. Hoglander1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM0731416427
VANVAN1606017129

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.34win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:34

2nd period

  1. EDM
    snapxG 0.21win prob +20 pts
    1-1
    14:29
  2. EDM
    snapxG 0.10win prob +22 pts
    2-1
    17:25
  3. EDM
    D. Nurse (17), D. Kahun (6)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    19:13

3rd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.09win prob +2 pts
    4-1
    14:53

Penalties

EDM 8 PIM·VAN 6 PIM

2nd

  • 16:44EDMWilliam Lagesson · Interferencedrawn by Tanner Pearson2 min
  • 16:54VANTanner Pearson · Hookingdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min
  • 17:15VANJ.T. Miller · High stickingdrawn by Tyson Barrie2 min

3rd

  • 1:44EDMAdam Larsson · Roughingdrawn by Tanner Pearson2 min
  • 4:25VANserved by J. Hawryluk · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 8:06EDMAdam Larsson · Elbowingdrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min
  • 17:36EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Slashingdrawn by Brock Boeser2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalEDM goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Leon Draisaitl, 2nd 17:25 — EDM 49% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.39B. Boeser · Goal · xG 0.34J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.16N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.15N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.15Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.14N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.12T. Graovac · Missed · xG 0.11B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.10N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.09B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.09M. Highmore · On goal · xG 0.08B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.08T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.08N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.08T. Boyd · On goal · xG 0.08B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.07B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.07B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.07J. Rathbone · Missed · xG 0.07B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.07T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.06Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.05J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.04Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.03K. Lind · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.02J. Rathbone · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.01T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.01J. Hawryluk · On goal · xG 0.01Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.00J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN1 G · 3.0 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsVAN
2.44 G
All situations
1 G3.0
2.12 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
0.32 G
Power play
0 G1.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM40%60%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.40 – 2.97

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsVAN
27
Shots on goal
29
51%
Faceoffs
49%
2/3
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
15
Hits
14
15
Blocked shots
16
6
Giveaways
12
3
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD112+140.22120—27:56
6A. LarssonD000010.03214—21:29
75E. BouchardD101020.13220—20:13
29L. DraisaitlC202040.560005419:06
97C. McDavidC022020.131105019:04
13J. PuljujarviR000020.28000—18:15
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000010.171125018:13
22T. BarrieD011050.30110—18:08
70D. KulikovD000+100.00020—17:26
84W. LagessonD000000.00232—13:37
56K. YamamotoR000020.20100—13:33
15J. ArchibaldR011+100.00310—13:26
71R. McLeodC000010.020005013:21
21D. KahunC011010.1201010012:44
16J. KhairaL000+120.070003312:37
8K. TurrisC000000.0700010011:28
63T. EnnisR000000.03000—11:01
39A. ChiassonR011+100.1110010010:23
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41M. Smith(W)29281.9663.03+2.0360:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).