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Edmonton Oilers at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV SNP, SNW·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Vancouver Canucks 5-3. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor McDavid's goal at 16:33 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 69% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.0 to 2.2; shots on goal were EDM 32, VAN 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Mikko Koskinen stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 0.8 goals below expected; Braden Holtby stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (2 G, 2 A), 2. J.T. Miller (1 G, 1 A), 3. Tyson Barrie (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    J. Miller1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    T. Barrie1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM110311111532
VANVAN1101518323

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    snapxG 0.15win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:41
  2. VAN
    snapxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    13:04

2nd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    0:18
  2. EDM
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.09win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    16:33
  3. VAN
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.25win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    17:16
  4. EDM
    snapxG 0.14win prob +18 pts
    4-2
    19:15

3rd period

  1. VAN
    snapxG 0.08win prob +8 pts
    4-3
    16:33
  2. EDM
    wristxG 0.56win prob +5 pts
    5-3
    19:00

Penalties

EDM 2 PIM·VAN 2 PIM

2nd

  • 1:51VANQuinn Hughes · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min
  • 6:02EDMJosh Archibald · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Myers2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalEDM goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Connor McDavid, 2nd 16:33 — EDM 69% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Hawryluk · On goal · xG 0.32J. Miller · Goal · xG 0.25B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.14N. Schmidt · Goal · xG 0.14N. Hoglander · Missed · xG 0.12T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.10B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.10T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.09B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.09B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.09T. Graovac · Missed · xG 0.08N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.08T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.08B. Boeser · Goal · xG 0.08B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.07M. Highmore · On goal · xG 0.05B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.04J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.04T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.04B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.04A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.03A. Edler · Missed · xG 0.03T. Boyd · On goal · xG 0.02A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.00O. Juolevi · Missed · xG 0.00
VAN3 G · 2.2 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsVAN
4.04 G
All situations
3 G2.2
3.04 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM71%29%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.45 – 2.21

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsVAN
32
Shots on goal
23
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/1
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
13
Hits
19
17
Blocked shots
17
9
Giveaways
6
7
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6A. LarssonD000+110.13300—24:08
25D. NurseD000+320.26060—23:32
70D. KulikovD011020.15230—21:31
22T. BarrieD101+230.18110—21:06
29L. DraisaitlC022+420.420004519:40
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC011041.100005319:36
97C. McDavidC224+420.661105018:40
56K. YamamotoR000000.07010—17:23
21D. KahunC101040.30010016:25
13J. PuljujarviR112+330.18110—16:21
74E. BearD000-110.02010—15:43
16J. KhairaL000-100.005103313:40
15J. ArchibaldR011000.00012—12:29
39A. ChiassonR000-130.31000—12:17
82C. JonesD000-110.03000—12:15
71R. McLeodC000-110.140005711:33
18J. NealL000-110.00000—10:58
63T. EnnisR000-120.06000—10:43
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
19M. Koskinen(W)23203.8702.21-0.7960:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).