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Blue Jackets at Stars
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Dallas Stars

FinalTV BSSW+, BSOH·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 5-1. The Blue Jackets scored first; the Stars answered. The Stars led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Denis Gurianov's goal at 10:10 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.9 to 1.7; shots on goal were CBJ 22, DAL 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 12 of 16 (.750), 2.1 goals below expected; Jake Oettinger stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jamie Benn (1 G, 1 A), 2. Esa Lindell (1 G, 1 A), 3. Joe Pavelski (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Benn1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    E. Lindell1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    J. Pavelski1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ190607122
DALDAL11148013532

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    6:06
  2. DAL
    wristxG 0.22win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    12:35

2nd period

  1. DAL
    J. Benn (16)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +18 pts
    1-2
    10:10
  2. DAL
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    13:14
  3. DAL
    wristxG 0.10win prob +8 pts
    1-4
    13:34
  4. DAL
    wristxG 0.04win prob +3 pts
    1-5
    16:40

Penalties

CBJ 18 PIM·DAL 4 PIM

1st

  • 2:48CBJJack Roslovic · Slashingdrawn by Radek Faksa2 min
  • 18:15DALJason Dickinson · Holdingdrawn by Max Domi2 min

2nd

  • 17:47DALRhett Gardner · Slashingdrawn by Max Domi2 min
  • 17:47CBJMax Domi · High stickingdrawn by Rhett Gardner2 min
  • 17:47CBJMax Domi · Misconductdrawn by Rhett Gardner10 min
  • 17:47CBJMax Domi · Slashingdrawn by Rhett Gardner2 min

3rd

  • 18:24CBJEric Robinson · Trippingdrawn by Miro Heiskanen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalCBJ goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Denis Gurianov, 2nd 10:10 — DAL 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.35J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.24J. Benn · Goal · xG 0.22J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.20R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.17B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.16D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.14J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.14J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.13J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.13N. Caamano · On goal · xG 0.13R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.11J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.11D. Gurianov · Goal · xG 0.11J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.11M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.10J. Pavelski · Goal · xG 0.10J. Klingberg · Goal · xG 0.10R. Gardner · On goal · xG 0.08R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.08M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.08J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.08A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.07J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.07R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.06M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.05D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.05J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.05J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.04M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.04E. Lindell · Goal · xG 0.04B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.04E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.03J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.02J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.02J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.02A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.02J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.02A. Sekera · On goal · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.02R. Gardner · On goal · xG 0.02J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.02T. Kero · On goal · xG 0.01A. Sekera · Missed · xG 0.01J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.00J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.00J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL5 G · 3.9 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsDAL
1.71 G
All situations
5 G3.9
0.61 G
Even strength
5 G2.4
0.20 G
Power play
0 G1.5
0.90 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ17%83%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.68 – 3.83

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsDAL
22
Shots on goal
32
36%
Faceoffs
64%
0/1
Power play
0/3
18
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
16
16
Blocked shots
13
14
Giveaways
10
2
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3S. JonesD000020.02430—24:38
43M. LehtonenD000010.01200—21:15
15M. Del ZottoD000-220.47200—20:40
44V. GavrikovD101-210.21110—19:56
42A. TexierL000030.370103518:44
13C. AtkinsonR011020.10000—18:43
4S. HarringtonD000-200.00030—16:35
28O. BjorkstrandR011-110.07100—15:52
96J. RoslovicC000000.020124715:49
2A. PeekeD000-210.01020—15:11
50E. RobinsonL000-200.02302—15:00
23S. MatteauC000010.02110014:24
26Z. DalpeC000020.082107514:22
29P. LaineL000-410.02000—14:02
49R. MacInnisC000000.00110014:01
25M. GrigorenkoC000-110.04000013:16
21J. DunneC000030.17420011:42
16M. DomiC000-410.0400144410:14
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70J. Korpisalo(L)16124.7501.87-2.1333:34
90E. Merzlikins16151.9382.07+1.0726:26

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).