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Blue Jackets at Stars
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Columbus Blue Jackets
1
Dallas Stars
▸4
FinalTV ESPN+, BSSW+·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 4-1. The Blue Jackets scored first; the Stars answered. The Stars led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Miro Heiskanen's goal at 18:01 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 53% to 75%. Expected goals were close — CBJ 1.9, DAL 2.2; shots on goal were CBJ 18, DAL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.8 goals below expected; Jake Oettinger stopped 17 of 18 (.944), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Denis Gurianov (2 G, 1 A), 2. Miro Heiskanen (1 G), 3. Jamie Benn.

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    D. Gurianov2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    M. Heiskanen1 G
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    J. Benn

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ170506118
DALDAL0521927431

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    J. Roslovic(9)
    M. Del Zotto (7), M. Grigorenko (7)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    7:16

2nd period

  1. DAL
    D. Gurianov(7)
    J. Dickinson (6), J. Hanley (5)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +22 pts
    1-1
    16:42
  2. DAL
    M. Heiskanen(7)
    J. Oleksiak (6), D. Gurianov (14)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +22 pts
    1-2
    18:01

3rd period

  1. DAL
    D. Gurianov(8)
    E. Lindell (8), J. Klingberg (22)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    8:16
  2. DAL
    J. Pavelski(17)
    R. Hintz (20), J. Robertson (18)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    15:08

Penalties

CBJ 2 PIM·DAL 2 PIM

1st

  • 11:57DALMiro Heiskanen · Holdingdrawn by Josh Dunne2 min
  • 16:45CBJAndrew Peeke · Hookingdrawn by Blake Comeau2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalCBJ goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Miro Heiskanen, 2nd 18:01 — DAL 53% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.17J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.13D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.10R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.10J. Pavelski · Goal · xG 0.10J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.09D. Gurianov · Goal · xG 0.09R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.09R. Gardner · Missed · xG 0.09J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.09E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.09M. Heiskanen · Goal · xG 0.08M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.08J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.08J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.07J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.06J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.06R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.06R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.06J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.05S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.04D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.04J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.04S. Vatanen · Missed · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.03J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.02D. Gurianov · Goal · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.02A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.02B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.02J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.01J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Faksa · Missed · xG 0.01J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hanley · On goal · xG 0.01J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gardner · On goal · xG 0.00J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.00J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.00J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.00A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.00J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL4 G · 2.2 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsDAL
1.91 G
All situations
4 G2.2
1.71 G
Even strength
4 G2.0
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ45%55%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.92 – 2.15

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsDAL
18
Shots on goal
31
34%
Faceoffs
66%
0/1
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
20
Hits
17
19
Blocked shots
8
9
Giveaways
9
0
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3S. JonesD000-110.02020—23:04
15M. Del ZottoD011-110.03010—22:41
4S. HarringtonD000-100.00280—18:58
44V. GavrikovD000-110.01020—18:51
2A. PeekeD000-100.01512—18:02
42A. TexierL000-310.35000917:59
29P. LaineL000-210.13000—17:35
46D. KukanD000-110.02020—16:43
16M. DomiC000-110.031005016:21
50E. RobinsonL000-100.16200—16:00
28O. BjorkstrandR000-300.04210—15:31
23S. MatteauC000040.38000014:43
25M. GrigorenkoC011010.1800010014:33
13C. AtkinsonR000020.19200—14:28
26Z. DalpeC000000.000108013:59
88K. SherwoodR000030.31300—13:20
96J. RoslovicC101+110.071003813:08
21J. DunneC000000.002101112:04
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
90E. Merzlikins(L)31274.8712.17-1.8360:00

Season series

DAL leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).