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Minnesota Wild at Colorado Avalanche

FinalTV NHLN, FS-N·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Minnesota Wild 6-0. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 5-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gabriel Landeskog's goal at 11:05 of the first period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals were close — MIN 2.4, COL 2.6; shots on goal were MIN 31, COL 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 36 of 42 (.857), 3.4 goals below expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 31 of 31 (1.000), 2.4 goals saved above expected.

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN09010012031
COLCOL213312117642

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    C. Makar(2)PPG
    wristxG 0.04win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    4:13
  2. COL
    wristxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    11:05

2nd period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.01win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    0:46
  2. COL
    wristxG 0.04win prob +5 pts
    0-4
    1:53
  3. COL
    wristxG 0.19win prob +1 pts
    0-5
    18:47

3rd period

  1. COL
    backhandxG 0.20
    0-6
    4:52

Penalties

MIN 14 PIM·COL 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:15MINIan Cole · Trippingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 15:00COLSamuel Girard · Holdingdrawn by Jordan Greenway2 min

2nd

  • 15:19COLGabriel Landeskog · Holding the stickdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 19:59COLValeri Nichushkin · Hookingdrawn by Jordan Greenway2 min

3rd

  • 4:52MINJoseph Cramarossa · Misconductdrawn by J.T. Compher10 min
  • 10:00MINJordan Greenway · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Philipp Grubauer2 min
  • 14:20COLBowen Byram · Interferencedrawn by Nico Sturm2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalMIN goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Gabriel Landeskog, 1st 11:05 — COL 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Nichushkin · Goal · xG 0.20D. Toews · Goal · xG 0.19B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.13P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.11G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.11T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.10M. Calvert · Missed · xG 0.10C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.10G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.09A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.09N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.08A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.08J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.08C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.07M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.07G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.06V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.06A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.05B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.04T. Jost · Goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · Goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.04A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.04B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.03B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.03T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.02V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.02G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.02T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.02B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.02R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.02M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.02R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.01R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.01T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.01B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.01V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.01T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.01P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.01M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.01
COL6 G · 2.6 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsCOL
2.40 G
All situations
6 G2.6
1.20 G
Even strength
5 G2.3
1.20 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN46%54%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.32 – 2.56

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsCOL
31
Shots on goal
42
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/4
Power play
1/2
14
Penalty minutes
8
15
Hits
16
13
Blocked shots
14
4
Giveaways
7
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25J. BrodinD000-320.06020—21:58
20R. SuterD000-220.06110—21:52
46J. SpurgeonD000010.08130—19:07
77B. HuntD000-320.05010—18:02
97K. KaprizovL000-430.36000—17:56
28I. ColeD000-110.02032—17:49
22K. FialaL000020.38100—17:25
38R. HartmanR000-140.081204117:16
36M. ZuccarelloR000-430.3910010017:02
21C. SoucyD000-120.32100—17:02
49V. RaskC000-200.000004416:42
11Z. PariseL000000.0110010016:26
27N. BjugstadC000020.261001815:10
14J. Eriksson EkC000-230.141005014:34
13N. BoninoC000000.000008013:55
56J. CramarossaC000-130.044010012:22
18J. GreenwayL000-110.13212—12:17
7N. SturmC000000.00000010:16
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34K. Kahkonen(L)42366.8572.56-3.4460:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).