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Avalanche at Wild
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
3
Minnesota Wild
▸4
Final/OTTV NHLN, FS-N·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Colorado Avalanche 4-3 in overtime, Jonas Brodin scoring at 0:18. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonas Brodin's goal at 0:18 of overtime, which took the Wild's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.1 to 1.6; shots on goal were COL 25, MIN 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Hunter Miska stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.9 goals below expected; Cam Talbot stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jonas Brodin (1 G), 2. Victor Rask (2 G), 3. Cale Makar (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    J. Brodin1 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    V. Rask2 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    C. Makar1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
COLCOL181711000325
MINMIN11011111111433

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    J. Donskoi(5)
    N. MacKinnon (11), G. Landeskog (5)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:33
  2. MIN
    J. Greenway(2)
    J. Eriksson Ek (3), R. Hartman (2)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    16:19

2nd period

  1. MIN
    V. Rask(2)
    J. Spurgeon (2), R. Suter (6)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    1:28
  2. COL
    C. Makar(1)
    N. MacKinnon (12), S. Girard (8)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    3:31

3rd period

  1. COL
    B. Saad(5)
    N. Kadri (4)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +29 pts
    3-2
    7:09
  2. MIN
    V. Rask(3)
    K. Kaprizov (6)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +35 pts
    3-3
    12:34

Overtime

  1. MIN
    J. Brodin(2)
    J. Greenway (8), J. Eriksson Ek (4)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    0:18

Penalties

COL 6 PIM·MIN 8 PIM

1st

  • 8:49MINNico Sturm · Trippingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 16:52COLSamuel Girard · Hookingdrawn by Zach Parise2 min

2nd

  • 4:48COLBowen Byram · Trippingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 10:37MINNick Bonino · Trippingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog2 min

3rd

  • 2:40MINJonas Brodin · Hookingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min
  • 7:48MINNico Sturm · Holdingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min
  • 12:55COLBowen Byram · Hookingdrawn by Luke Johnson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalCOL goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Jonas Brodin, OT 0:18 — MIN 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.15N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.14V. Rask · Goal · xG 0.13Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.11J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.11J. Brodin · Goal · xG 0.11N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.11J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.10J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.09J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.09N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.08V. Rask · Goal · xG 0.08N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.06N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.06G. Mayhew · On goal · xG 0.05V. Rask · Missed · xG 0.05N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.05J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.05K. Rau · On goal · xG 0.05K. Rau · On goal · xG 0.04N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.04J. Greenway · Goal · xG 0.03J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.03J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.03R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.02I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.02K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.02B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.02R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.02R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.02R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.01L. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.01K. Rau · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.01C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN4 G · 2.1 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsMIN
1.63 G
All situations
4 G2.1
1.33 G
Even strength
4 G1.6
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL41%59%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.64 – 2.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsMIN
25
Shots on goal
33
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/4
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
9
Hits
14
8
Blocked shots
14
0
Giveaways
5
2
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD101+230.16010—28:09
49S. GirardD011-110.11102—26:13
92G. LandeskogL011010.000007521:34
4B. ByramD000030.16114—20:37
96M. RantanenR000020.08000—20:20
91N. KadriC011-110.160005618:24
27R. GravesD000-200.00020—18:24
72J. DonskoiR101+120.16100—17:53
37J. CompherL000-100.000104817:47
20B. SaadL101-120.170005015:58
29N. MacKinnonC022+110.131002015:24
13V. NichushkinR000010.19220—14:30
95A. BurakovskyL000-110.03000—14:28
17T. JostC000010.031003013:14
22C. TimminsD000000.03000—12:27
34J. MacDonaldD000040.07100—10:58
25L. O'ConnorR000020.18110—08:46
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32H. Miska(O)33294.8792.12-1.8860:06

Season series

COL leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).