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Golden Knights at Blues
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
▸5
St. Louis Blues
4
Final/OTTV NHLN, ATTSN-RM·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the St. Louis Blues 5-4 in overtime, Reilly Smith scoring at 2:38. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Golden Knights led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Reilly Smith's goal at 2:38 of overtime, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 4.0 to 1.9; shots on goal were VGK 40, STL 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 2.1 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 35 of 40 (.875), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Reilly Smith (1 G, 1 A), 2. Vladimir Tarasenko (1 G, 1 A), 3. Ryan O'Reilly (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    R. Smith1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    V. Tarasenko1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    R. O'Reilly1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
VGKVGK21111211215540
STLSTL08272800423

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    M. Stone(7)
    C. Stephenson (9), M. Pacioretty (10)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    14:48
  2. VGK
    J. Marchessault(8)
    R. Smith (5)
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    15:29

2nd period

  1. STL
    R. O'Reilly(9)
    J. Faulk (7), Z. Sanford (4)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    5:14
  2. VGK
    T. Nosek(2)
    D. Coghlan (2), N. Roy (3)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    10:12
  3. STL
    V. Tarasenko(1)
    S. Blais (4), R. Bortuzzo (2)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    13:36

3rd period

  1. STL
    Z. Sanford(8)PPG
    M. Hoffman (12), J. Kyrou (13)
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +22 pts
    3-3
    4:53
  2. STL
    D. Perron(11)PPG
    B. Schenn (12), V. Tarasenko (2)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +25 pts
    3-4
    10:40
  3. VGK
    A. Martinez(2)
    T. Nosek (1), S. Theodore (13)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +32 pts
    4-4
    11:27

Overtime

  1. VGK
    R. Smith(6)PPG
    J. Marchessault (10), A. Martinez (11)
    slapxG 0.15win prob +51 pts
    5-4
    2:38

Penalties

VGK 6 PIM·STL 8 PIM

1st

  • 7:56STLRyan O'Reilly · Trippingdrawn by Chandler Stephenson2 min
  • 16:04STLRobert Bortuzzo · Trippingdrawn by Nicolas Roy2 min
  • 19:20VGKMark Stone · Slashingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min

3rd

  • 3:29VGKAlec Martinez · Trippingdrawn by Zachary Sanford2 min
  • 7:17STLOskar Sundqvist · Holdingdrawn by Nicolas Roy2 min
  • 10:03VGKDylan Coghlan · Trippingdrawn by Niko Mikkola2 min

OT

  • 0:58STLTorey Krug · Trippingdrawn by Reilly Smith2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalVGK goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Reilly Smith, OT 2:38 — VGK 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Sanford · Goal · xG 0.21D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.18V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.15B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.13B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.11R. O'Reilly · Goal · xG 0.10M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.10B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.09R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.09R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.09M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.07D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.07D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.07D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.06K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.06M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.06R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.04D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.04D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.02R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.02V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.02R. Bortuzzo · Missed · xG 0.02K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.02D. Joshua · On goal · xG 0.02T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · Missed · xG 0.01M. MacEachern · On goal · xG 0.01
STL4 G · 1.9 xG · 28 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsSTL
4.05 G
All situations
4 G1.9
3.24 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
0.81 G
Power play
2 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK81%19%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.94 – 1.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsSTL
40
Shots on goal
23
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/4
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
16
Hits
23
13
Blocked shots
17
13
Giveaways
12
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27S. TheodoreD011+220.03000—23:51
23A. MartinezD112+210.22112—22:20
71W. KarlssonC000+130.350003821:15
2Z. WhitecloudD000-110.13020—21:02
19R. SmithR112+140.17010—19:56
81J. MarchessaultR112+171.120005019:07
67M. PaciorettyL011+130.27100—18:45
61M. StoneR101+130.33012—18:36
20C. StephensonC011020.270205018:28
89A. TuchR000+140.43010—18:07
14N. HagueD000-140.10220—17:20
3B. McNabbD000+100.00210—15:43
52D. CoghlanD011+110.05112—15:23
10N. RoyC011+100.12100013:51
92T. NosekL112+140.271006913:37
9C. GlassC000000.000007113:10
75R. ReavesR000-100.00710—07:57
55K. KolesarR000-110.1400010007:51
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(W)23194.8261.89-2.1161:52

Season series

VGK leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).