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Blues at Golden Knights
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
1
Vegas Golden Knights
▸5
FinalTV ESPN+, ATTSN-RM·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the St. Louis Blues 5-1. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Stone's goal at 1:20 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 52% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 2.2 to 0.7; shots on goal were STL 16, VGK 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 30 of 35 (.857), 2.9 goals below expected; Robin Lehner stopped 15 of 16 (.938). Three stars: 1. Keegan Kolesar (1 G), 2. Mark Stone (2 G, 1 A), 3. Jonathan Marchessault (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    K. Kolesar1 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    M. Stone2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    J. Marchessault1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL061703116
VGKVGK11406415535

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    J. Marchessault(9)
    W. Karlsson (14)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    8:41

2nd period

  1. STL
    V. Dunn(5)
    V. Tarasenko (4), J. Schwartz (9)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    6:42

3rd period

  1. VGK
    M. Stone(11)
    N. Holden (1), C. Stephenson (12)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +24 pts
    1-2
    1:20
  2. VGK
    K. Kolesar(1)
    N. Hague (9), T. Nosek (5)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    1-3
    11:19
  3. VGK
    W. Karlsson(8)PPG
    M. Stone (26), J. Marchessault (14)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    14:56
  4. VGK
    M. Stone(12)PPG
    S. Theodore (19), W. Karlsson (15)
    tip-inxG 0.07
    1-5
    18:08

Penalties

STL 6 PIM·VGK 4 PIM

1st

  • 0:33VGKJonathan Marchessault · High stickingdrawn by Torey Krug2 min
  • 18:44STLJacob de la Rose · Trippingdrawn by Tomas Nosek2 min

2nd

  • 14:48VGKKeegan Kolesar · Trippingdrawn by Zachary Sanford2 min

3rd

  • 13:42STLDavid Perron · Slashingdrawn by Shea Theodore2 min
  • 16:29STLJordan Kyrou · Hookingdrawn by Nicolas Roy2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalSTL goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Mark Stone, 3rd 1:20 — VGK 52% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.24W. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.19J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.15W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.14N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.12M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.11W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.11R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.10J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.09K. Kolesar · Goal · xG 0.08A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.08W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.07M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.07R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.04S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.03S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.03M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.03S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.03R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.02M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.02M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · Goal · xG 0.02W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Whitecloud · Missed · xG 0.02N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.01T. Nosek · Missed · xG 0.01R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.01P. Brown · Missed · xG 0.01T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.01A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.01R. Reaves · Missed · xG 0.01S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.01R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.01R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.00S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.00J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.00P. Brown · Missed · xG 0.00J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.00J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.00J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.00A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.00N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.00P. Brown · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK5 G · 2.2 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsVGK
0.71 G
All situations
5 G2.2
0.41 G
Even strength
3 G1.1
0.10 G
Power play
2 G1.0
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL19%81%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 0.66 – 2.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsVGK
16
Shots on goal
35
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/2
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
23
Hits
25
16
Blocked shots
18
5
Giveaways
3
9
Takeaways
19

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72J. FaulkD000-210.01430—25:06
6M. ScandellaD000-120.04200—22:11
47T. KrugD000000.00020—20:51
29V. DunnD101030.22120—20:06
90R. O'ReillyC000000.121006418:34
10B. SchennC000-110.012106717:23
57D. PerronL000000.00002—16:56
12Z. SanfordL000010.02120—16:34
17J. SchwartzL011-120.07100—15:57
25J. KyrouR000-100.00022—15:47
68M. HoffmanC000-100.00000015:31
91V. TarasenkoR011-130.05100—15:10
46J. WalmanD000-110.00000—14:16
41R. BortuzzoD000000.04410—13:49
18R. ThomasC000-100.090003513:26
13K. CliffordL000010.00200—12:19
61J. de la RoseL000000.012222911:23
54D. JoshuaC000010.00210009:48
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(L)35305.8572.15-2.8560:00

Season series

VGK leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).