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Montréal Canadiens at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV ESPN+, SNP·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Vancouver Canucks 5-1. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Corey Perry's goal at 2:09 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 63% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.5 to 1.3; shots on goal were MTL 45, VAN 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 84% of the time. Carey Price stopped 23 of 24 (.958); Thatcher Demko stopped 40 of 45 (.889), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jeff Petry (1 G), 2. Jesperi Kotkaniemi (1 G, 1 A), 3. Shea Weber (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    J. Petry1 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    J. Kotkaniemi1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    S. Weber1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL116212217545
VANVAN0411307124

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    snapxG 0.13win prob +5 pts
    1-0
    15:34

2nd period

  1. MTL
    backhandxG 0.23win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    2:09
  2. VAN
    B. Boeser(14)PPG
    Q. Hughes (22), J. Miller (18)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    4:54
  3. MTL
    S. Weber(5)PPG
    slapxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    3-1
    14:11

3rd period

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.08win prob +6 pts
    4-1
    6:36
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.08
    5-1
    13:49

Penalties

MTL 11 PIM·VAN 15 PIM

1st

  • 6:40MTLJesperi Kotkaniemi · Boardingdrawn by Travis Hamonic2 min
  • 9:22VANAlexander Edler · Interferencedrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
  • 15:02VANJ.T. Miller · Fightingdrawn by Ben Chiarot5 min
  • 15:02MTLBen Chiarot · Fightingdrawn by J.T. Miller5 min
  • 17:47VANQuinn Hughes · Holdingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min

2nd

  • 3:59MTLBrett Kulak · High stickingdrawn by Jayce Hawryluk2 min
  • 7:33VANJ.T. Miller · Trippingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min
  • 13:08VANMarc Michaelis · Hookingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min

3rd

  • 7:27MTLPhillip Danault · Hookingdrawn by Adam Gaudette2 min
  • 11:02VANserved by Q. Hughes · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalMTL goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Corey Perry, 2nd 2:09 — MTL 63% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.28J. Hawryluk · On goal · xG 0.15B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.09B. Boeser · Goal · xG 0.08J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.07J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.06T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.06T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.04Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.04A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.04J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.04T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.03A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.03Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03B. Sutter · On goal · xG 0.03B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.03A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02M. Michaelis · Missed · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.02B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.01A. Roussel · Missed · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.00B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.00T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN1 G · 1.3 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsVAN
3.55 G
All situations
1 G1.3
2.44 G
Even strength
0 G1.1
0.91 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL84%16%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.43 – 1.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsVAN
45
Shots on goal
24
42%
Faceoffs
58%
1/5
Power play
1/3
11
Penalty minutes
15
24
Hits
18
10
Blocked shots
19
3
Giveaways
7
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26J. PetryD101+150.28200—23:28
6S. WeberD101+130.20120—22:34
44J. EdmundsonD011+440.07110—22:18
27A. RomanovD000+220.05330—19:21
14N. SuzukiC000010.171003917:43
73T. ToffoliC022+230.31000017:36
17J. AndersonR011+120.13300—17:26
77B. KulakD000010.02002—16:54
92J. DrouinL011040.20000—16:42
24P. DanaultC101+130.220024216:38
90T. TatarL000040.230005016:18
11B. GallagherR000+230.460006715:17
15J. KotkaniemiC112+240.401025514:57
40J. ArmiaR011+150.24400—14:26
94C. PerryR101+110.23100—13:59
41P. ByronL011+100.1031010012:27
71J. EvansC011+100.143303012:05
8B. ChiarotD000000.00105—05:41
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31C. Price(W)24231.9581.32+0.3259:15

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).