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Vancouver Canucks at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV SNP, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Vancouver Canucks 5-3. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Toffoli's goal at 12:29 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 72% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.2 to 2.4; shots on goal were VAN 39, MTL 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Thatcher Demko stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.8 goals below expected; Jake Allen stopped 36 of 39 (.923), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Shea Weber (1 A), 2. Tyler Toffoli (2 G, 1 A), 3. Josh Anderson (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    S. Weber1 A
  2. ★★
    MTL
    T. Toffoli2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    J. Anderson2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN010116213339
MTLMTL21121517533

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    13:53
  2. MTL
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    17:00

2nd period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.24win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    4:20
  2. MTL
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    12:29
  3. MTL
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +8 pts
    1-4
    15:47

3rd period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.08win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    0:53
  2. VAN
    wristxG 0.15win prob +2 pts
    3-4
    19:18
  3. MTL
    wristxG 0.92win prob +2 pts
    3-5
    19:54

Penalties

VAN 8 PIM·MTL 6 PIM

1st

  • 8:56VANAlexander Edler · Cross checkingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min
  • 10:09VANserved by N. Hoglander · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 1:53VANAntoine Roussel · Kneeingdrawn by Jeff Petry2 min
  • 7:29MTLJonathan Drouin · Trippingdrawn by Alexander Edler2 min
  • 8:12VANTanner Pearson · Hookingdrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min
  • 19:03MTLBrett Kulak · Slashingdrawn by Nils Hoglander2 min

3rd

  • 3:59MTLJosh Anderson · Holdingdrawn by Nils Hoglander2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalVAN goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Tyler Toffoli, 2nd 12:29 — MTL 72% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Petry · Goal · xG 0.92A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.18B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.15C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.15J. Anderson · Goal · xG 0.15C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.12J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.12J. Anderson · Goal · xG 0.11J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.10T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.08C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.07T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.07T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.07T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.06J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.06B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.06J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.06P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.06N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.05T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.05J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.05J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.05B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.04N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.04B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.04S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.02T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.02T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.02B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.02B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.01P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.01P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.01J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.00T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL5 G · 3.2 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsMTL
2.43 G
All situations
4 G3.2
1.52 G
Even strength
4 G1.7
0.91 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN53%47%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.40 – 2.23

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsMTL
39
Shots on goal
33
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/3
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
26
Hits
20
13
Blocked shots
11
12
Giveaways
17
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
57T. MyersD000-130.06210—25:04
43Q. HughesD033-140.15110—23:45
9J. MillerC011-140.3863010023:31
53B. HorvatC000-230.250005022:57
6B. BoeserR011-230.28000—20:43
88N. SchmidtD000-110.00010—19:53
40E. PetterssonC101-150.420005019:51
23A. EdlerD000-120.03212—19:32
70T. PearsonL101-150.28102—16:47
36N. HoglanderL000010.02210—15:06
64T. MotteC000-110.005002513:16
8J. BennD000-100.00000—13:14
63J. ChatfieldD000-110.03120—13:03
20B. SutterC000-220.020103512:26
26A. RousselL101+130.48302—10:34
83J. BeagleC011000.000008810:32
96A. GaudetteR000000.000205007:24
71Z. MacEwenR000010.01300—06:59
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Demko(L)32284.8752.24-1.7657:20

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).