Toronto Maple Leafs at Edmonton Oilers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Edmonton Oilers 3-0. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was William Nylander's goal at 10:20 of the first period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 60% to 75%. Expected goals were close — TOR 2.3, EDM 2.3; shots on goal were TOR 23, EDM 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Michael Hutchinson stopped 31 of 31 (1.000), 2.3 goals saved above expected; Mike Smith stopped 13 of 13 (1.000), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Michael Hutchinson (31 saves, 1.000), 2. Morgan Rielly (1 G, 1 A), 3. William Nylander (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★M. Hutchinson31 saves, 1.000

- ★★M. Rielly1 G, 1 A

- ★★★W. Nylander1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals1st period
1-07:19
2-010:20
3-018:07
Penalties
1st
- 15:15
Jake Muzzin · Hookingdrawn by Josh Archibald2 min
- 15:18
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · Trippingdrawn by Justin Holl2 min
- 17:19
Adam Larsson · Hookingdrawn by Ilya Mikheyev2 min
2nd
- 5:17
Morgan Rielly · Interferencedrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
- 8:29
Travis Dermott · Hookingdrawn by Jujhar Khaira2 min
- 12:55
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · Interferencedrawn by Zach Bogosian2 min
- 15:17
Connor McDavid · Cross checkingdrawn by Justin Holl2 min
3rd
- 5:42
Alexander Barabanov · Hookingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
- 19:35
Josh Archibald · Fightingdrawn by Travis Dermott5 min
- 19:35
Travis Dermott · Fightingdrawn by Josh Archibald5 min
- 19:35
Darnell Nurse · Misconductdrawn by Zach Bogosian10 min
- 19:35
Zach Bogosian · Misconductdrawn by Darnell Nurse10 min
- 20:00
Alex Chiasson · Cross checkingdrawn by Jimmy Vesey5 min
- 20:00
Alex Chiasson · Game misconductdrawn by Jimmy Vesey10 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: William Nylander, 1st 10:20 — 60% → 75%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.33 G
- All situations
- 0 G2.3
- 1.52 G
- Even strength
- 0 G1.9
- 0.61 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.4
- 0.20 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.29 – 2.33
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 23
- Shots on goal
- 31
- 42%
- Faceoffs
- 58%
- 1/4
- Power play
- 0/4
- 23
- Penalty minutes
- 38
- 16
- Hits
- 22
- 14
- Blocked shots
- 7
- 7
- Giveaways
- 8
- 6
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
TOR leads 6-3
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
