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Red Wings at Blackhawks
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Chicago Blackhawks

FinalTV ESPN+, FS-D·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Chicago Blackhawks 5-3. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Darren Helm's goal at 14:09 of the second period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 47% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 3.6 to 2.1; shots on goal were DET 32, CHI 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Jonathan Bernier stopped 33 of 36 (.917), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Malcolm Subban stopped 27 of 32 (.844), 2.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Bernier (33 saves, .917), 2. Robby Fabbri (2 A), 3. Evgeny Svechnikov (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    J. Bernier33 saves, .917
  2. ★★
    DET
    R. Fabbri2 A
  3. ★★★
    DET
    E. Svechnikov1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET17214211532
CHICHI013110213336

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    wristxG 0.15win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    10:27

2nd period

  1. CHI
    snapxG 0.14win prob +20 pts
    1-1
    13:53
  2. DET
    wristxG 0.14win prob +21 pts
    2-1
    14:09
  3. DET
    C. Djoos(2)PPG
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    3-1
    18:27

3rd period

  1. DET
    wristxG 0.15win prob +7 pts
    4-1
    2:33
  2. CHI
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +6 pts
    4-2
    4:43
  3. DET
    wristxG 0.15win prob +5 pts
    5-2
    8:15
  4. CHI
    backhandxG 0.10
    5-3
    19:48

Penalties

DET 2 PIM·CHI 2 PIM

2nd

  • 17:21CHICalvin de Haan · Holdingdrawn by Anthony Mantha2 min

3rd

  • 11:47DETAdam Erne · Boardingdrawn by Ian Mitchell2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalDET goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Darren Helm, 2nd 14:09 — DET 47% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Carpenter · Missed · xG 0.19D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.16A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.16D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.15A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.14D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.13P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.12P. Kurashev · Missed · xG 0.12C. Soderberg · Missed · xG 0.11M. Janmark · Goal · xG 0.11M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.11P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.11P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.11P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.11D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.10P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.10A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.10D. Kubalik · Goal · xG 0.10P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.09B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.09A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.09P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.08C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.08B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.08P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.08M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.08M. Highmore · Missed · xG 0.07D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.06P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.05D. Kubalik · Missed · xG 0.05N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.05C. Soderberg · Missed · xG 0.05A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.05D. Kampf · Missed · xG 0.04M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.04B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.04D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.03M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.02A. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.02P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.02D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.02D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.02A. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.02I. Mitchell · On goal · xG 0.01M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.01P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.01L. Wallmark · On goal · xG 0.01D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.00N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI3 G · 3.6 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsCHI
2.15 G
All situations
3 G3.6
1.84 G
Even strength
3 G3.6
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET26%74%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.07 – 3.56

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsCHI
32
Shots on goal
36
59%
Faceoffs
41%
1/1
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
33
Hits
34
20
Blocked shots
7
7
Giveaways
13
7
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17F. HronekD000030.10120—22:40
65D. DeKeyserD011030.09410—21:24
18M. StaalD000+310.01210—20:39
24J. MerrillD000+210.01340—19:47
22P. NemethD000-220.05120—18:59
92V. NamestnikovC000030.142006716:48
39A. ManthaR000010.1910010016:02
81F. NielsenC112+120.20310015:55
89S. GagnerC000010.03100015:51
43D. HelmC101-130.18100015:19
14R. FabbriC022+100.132006315:17
51V. FilppulaC022+110.00210015:16
44C. DjoosD101-110.10210—15:09
54B. RyanR101+140.31330—14:53
41L. GlendeningC011-120.031106214:46
73A. ErneL011000.13212—14:06
11F. ZadinaR011010.00100—13:32
37E. SvechnikovL112+130.44120—12:04
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
45J. Bernier(W)36333.9173.60+0.6059:17

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).