Chicago Blackhawks at Detroit Red Wings
Recap
written from the game dataThe Chicago Blackhawks beat the Detroit Red Wings 3-2 in overtime, Dominik Kubalik scoring at 4:43. The Blackhawks scored first and never trailed. The Blackhawks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dominik Kubalik's goal at 4:43 of overtime, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — CHI 2.1, DET 2.1; shots on goal were CHI 24, DET 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Malcolm Subban stopped 27 of 29 (.931); Thomas Greiss stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Dominik Kubalik (2 G), 2. Mattias Janmark (1 G), 3. Thomas Greiss (21 saves, .875).
Three stars
- ★D. Kubalik2 G

- ★★M. Janmark1 G

- ★★★T. Greiss21 saves, .875

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
1-04:19
2-016:09
2-119:45
3rd period
2-25:49
Overtime
3-24:43
Penalties
1st
- 8:38
Patrik Nemeth · Slashingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min
- 12:18
Duncan Keith · Hookingdrawn by Mathias Brome2 min
2nd
- 14:46
Valtteri Filppula · Trippingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov2 min
- 18:43
Robby Fabbri · Delaying game face off violation2 min
3rd
- 2:42
Patrick Kane · Hookingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Dominik Kubalik, OT 4:43 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.13 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.1
- 1.43 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.1
- 0.70 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.0
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.04 – 2.10
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 24
- Shots on goal
- 29
- 44%
- Faceoffs
- 56%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 10
- Hits
- 11
- 9
- Blocked shots
- 11
- 6
- Giveaways
- 8
- 3
- Takeaways
- 1
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
