Skip to content
Lightning at Islanders
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸2
New York Islanders
1
Final/OTTV NBCSN, CBC·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the New York Islanders 2-1 in overtime, Anthony Cirelli scoring at 13:18. The Islanders scored first; the Lightning answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Cirelli's goal at 13:18 of overtime, which took the Lightning's chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.1 to 2.0; shots on goal were TBL 48, NYI 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 46 of 48 (.958), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Anthony Cirelli (1 G), 2. Semyon Varlamov (46 saves, .958), 3. Nikita Kucherov (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    A. Cirelli1 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    S. Varlamov46 saves, .958
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
TBLTBL11701001516248
NYINYI16060906127

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    D. Toews(2)
    A. Lee (4), M. Barzal (12)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:15
  2. TBL
    V. Hedman(9)
    E. Cernak (4), N. Kucherov (20)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    6:28

Overtime

  1. TBL
    A. Cirelli(3)
    B. Goodrow (4), A. Killorn (4)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +52 pts
    2-1
    13:18

Penalties

TBL 4 PIM·NYI 10 PIM

2nd

  • 4:29NYIDevon Toews · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 7:13NYICal Clutterbuck · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Shattenkirk2 min
  • 15:17TBLTyler Johnson · Hookingdrawn by Josh Bailey2 min

3rd

  • 13:53NYIDevon Toews · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:37NYIAndy Greene · High sticking double minordrawn by Nikita Kucherov4 min

OT

  • 8:49TBLserved by P. Maroon · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalTBL goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Anthony Cirelli, OT 13:18 — TBL 48% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.27M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.16B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.13D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.09J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.09M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.08D. Toews · Goal · xG 0.08A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.08C. Clutterbuck · Missed · xG 0.08J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.08J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.07B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.06J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.06N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.06J. Bailey · Missed · xG 0.05C. Clutterbuck · Missed · xG 0.05J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.05B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.04N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.04A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.04N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.04J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.03D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.03B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.03A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.03A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.03D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.01N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.00S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.00J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.00J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.00S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.00L. Komarov · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI1 G · 2.0 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsNYI
3.12 G
All situations
1 G2.0
2.02 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
1.10 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 107 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL69%31%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.08 – 1.99

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsNYI
48
Shots on goal
27
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/5
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
10
40
Hits
62
25
Blocked shots
35
14
Giveaways
18
8
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77V. HedmanD101+260.27140—30:41
86N. KucherovR011+130.38000—28:22
21B. PointC000040.481404025:47
98M. SergachevD000-120.14310—25:10
18O. PalatL000+140.53510—24:47
37Y. GourdeC000010.024005422:22
27R. McDonaghD000000.00020—21:57
17A. KillornL011010.29200—21:55
81E. CernakD011+140.04320—20:13
19B. GoodrowC011010.062204419:45
20B. ColemanL000040.17800—19:28
22K. ShattenkirkD000+140.09120—18:16
71A. CirelliC101+140.253407517:02
24Z. BogosianD000-130.05300—16:13
9T. JohnsonC000020.040024514:16
14P. MaroonL000010.16100—13:58
13C. PaquetteC000000.000004011:49
2L. SchennD000040.15330—11:11
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(W)27261.9632.00+1.0072:44

Series

TBL leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).