Skip to content

Vancouver Canucks at St. Louis Blues

Final/OTTV NHLN, FS-MW·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the St. Louis Blues 4-3 in overtime, Bo Horvat scoring at 5:55. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Bo Horvat's goal at 5:55 of overtime, which took the Canucks' chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.1 to 2.7; shots on goal were VAN 25, STL 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 34 of 37 (.919); Jordan Binnington stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Bo Horvat (2 G), 2. Jacob Markstrom (34 saves, .919), 3. David Perron (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    B. Horvat2 G
  2. ★★
    VAN
    J. Markstrom34 saves, .919
  3. ★★★
    STL
    D. Perron2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
VANVAN110161613425
STLSTL01211321101337

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    B. Horvat(5)SHG
    wristxG 0.24win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    7:23

2nd period

  1. VAN
    slapxG 0.14win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    13:01
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    18:56

3rd period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.19win prob +14 pts
    3-1
    5:36
  2. STL
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    3-2
    9:02
  3. STL
    tip-inxG 0.17win prob +46 pts
    3-3
    19:53

Overtime

  1. VAN
    snapxG 0.24win prob +52 pts
    4-3
    5:55

Penalties

VAN 19 PIM·STL 13 PIM

1st

  • 3:02VANAlexander Edler · Trippingdrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min
  • 5:13STLJaden Schwartz · Hookingdrawn by Troy Stecher2 min
  • 6:54VANAntoine Roussel · Slashingdrawn by Zachary Sanford2 min

2nd

  • 1:51VANJ.T. Miller · Slashingdrawn by Alex Pietrangelo2 min
  • 5:52VANJake Virtanen · Slashingdrawn by David Perron2 min
  • 11:28STLAlexander Steen · Hookingdrawn by Tyler Motte2 min
  • 14:00VANBo Horvat · Hookingdrawn by Jaden Schwartz2 min
  • 17:30VANZack MacEwen · Fightingdrawn by Zachary Sanford5 min
  • 17:30STLZachary Sanford · Fightingdrawn by Zack MacEwen5 min
  • 17:53VANJay Beagle · Roughingdrawn by Sammy Blais2 min
  • 17:53VANJay Beagle · Roughingdrawn by Sammy Blais2 min
  • 17:53STLSammy Blais · Roughingdrawn by Jay Beagle2 min

3rd

  • 4:03STLDavid Perron · Interferencedrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalVAN goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Bo Horvat, OT 5:55 — VAN 48% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.38J. Schwartz · Goal · xG 0.17C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.16R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.14D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.14D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.13B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.13J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.12S. Blais · Goal · xG 0.12B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.10J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.10V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.09T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.08J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.08R. O'Reilly · Goal · xG 0.08J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.08B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.07B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.07J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.07D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.07S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.07V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.05A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.05V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.05D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.04D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.03T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.03V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.03J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.02M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01C. Gunnarsson · Missed · xG 0.01C. Gunnarsson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.01J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.00R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.00
STL3 G · 3.1 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsSTL
2.74 G
All situations
3 G3.1
1.81 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.72 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN43%57%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.70 – 3.11

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsSTL
25
Shots on goal
37
56%
Faceoffs
44%
2/3
Power play
1/6
19
Penalty minutes
13
27
Hits
41
25
Blocked shots
13
13
Giveaways
15
9
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. EdlerD011020.24252—29:22
8C. TanevD011030.26050—28:38
53B. HorvatC202+140.810326923:29
9J. MillerC011040.211125321:15
70T. PearsonL101020.26130—21:02
43Q. HughesD011+110.02000—20:31
21L. ErikssonL000020.07100—19:52
6B. BoeserR022000.00120—19:13
64T. MotteC000-120.26310019:00
51T. StecherD000-100.01310—18:55
20B. SutterC000-100.000104017:41
40E. PetterssonC112010.31110017:03
5O. FantenbergD000010.01310—16:23
83J. BeagleC000+100.005145813:58
57T. MyersD000010.02100—13:44
71Z. MacEwenR000010.24205—07:23
26A. RousselL000-110.03202—06:08
18J. VirtanenR000000.00102—04:55
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(W)37343.9193.12+0.1265:55

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).