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Vancouver Canucks at St. Louis Blues

FinalTV NBCSN, FS-MW·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the St. Louis Blues 5-2. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Troy Stecher's goal at 5:37 of the third period, which took the Canucks' chances from 48% to 76%. Expected goals were close — VAN 2.8, STL 2.7; shots on goal were VAN 22, STL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 17 of 22 (.773), 2.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Troy Stecher (1 G), 2. Bo Horvat (2 G), 3. Jacob Markstrom (29 saves, .935).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    T. Stecher1 G
  2. ★★
    VAN
    B. Horvat2 G
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    J. Markstrom29 saves, .935

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN191835522
STLSTL11211009231

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    B. Horvat(3)PPG
    slapxG 0.11win prob +9 pts
    1-0
    4:29
  2. STL
    D. Perron(3)PPG
    snapxG 0.09win prob +10 pts
    1-1
    16:37

2nd period

  1. VAN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    8:37
  2. STL
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +19 pts
    2-2
    9:49

3rd period

  1. VAN
    snapxG 0.01win prob +28 pts
    3-2
    5:37
  2. VAN
    snapxG 0.14win prob +16 pts
    4-2
    8:01
  3. VAN
    J. Miller(2)PPG
    slapxG 0.14
    5-2
    19:21

Penalties

VAN 16 PIM·STL 22 PIM

1st

  • 4:17STLJustin Faulk · Slashingdrawn by Brandon Sutter2 min
  • 15:58VANAntoine Roussel · Slashingdrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min
  • 18:42STLAlex Pietrangelo · High stickingdrawn by Bo Horvat2 min

2nd

  • 3:13VANTyler Myers · Holdingdrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min
  • 4:45STLTyler Bozak · Trippingdrawn by Alexander Edler2 min
  • 7:43STLBrayden Schenn · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Myers2 min
  • 11:49VANZack MacEwen · Roughingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min
  • 14:59STLMackenzie MacEachern · Trippingdrawn by Loui Eriksson2 min

3rd

  • 18:32STLAlex Pietrangelo · Interferencedrawn by Tanner Pearson2 min
  • 19:21STLZachary Sanford · Misconductdrawn by Jake Virtanen10 min
  • 19:21VANJake Virtanen · Misconductdrawn by Zachary Sanford10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalVAN goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Troy Stecher, 3rd 5:37 — VAN 48% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.23B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.18Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.17T. Bozak · Missed · xG 0.16J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.16O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.15V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.14J. Schwartz · Goal · xG 0.12R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.12T. Bozak · Missed · xG 0.10D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.08R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.08V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.07V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.06J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.05V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.05M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.05J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.05J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.04B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.04J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.04V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.04R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.02J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.02J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.02V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.01C. Gunnarsson · On goal · xG 0.01
STL2 G · 2.7 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsSTL
2.85 G
All situations
2 G2.7
1.92 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.93 G
Power play
1 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN53%47%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.79 – 2.65

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsSTL
22
Shots on goal
31
49%
Faceoffs
51%
3/6
Power play
1/3
16
Penalty minutes
22
18
Hits
30
18
Blocked shots
12
13
Giveaways
7
11
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. EdlerD000+230.05140—24:18
9J. MillerC112-110.182005022:15
6B. BoeserR022000.24120—21:57
43Q. HughesD011-120.10010—21:28
8C. TanevD011000.00110—20:32
40E. PetterssonC101-110.17010020:18
53B. HorvatC202+240.671005420:02
57T. MyersD000010.08022—17:42
20B. SutterC000020.360104716:02
21L. ErikssonL000+130.10000—15:56
51T. StecherD101+120.02010—15:40
64T. MotteC000000.00300015:37
70T. PearsonL022+210.45220—15:25
5O. FantenbergD000000.00000—14:27
83J. BeagleC000010.022203311:21
18J. VirtanenR000010.071110—09:26
26A. RousselL000000.29302—07:10
71Z. MacEwenR000000.00102—05:48
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(W)31292.9352.67+0.6759:57

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).