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Jets at Flames
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
1
Calgary Flames
▸4
FinalTV NBCSN, NHL.TV·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-1. The Jets scored first; the Flames answered. The Flames led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tobias Rieder's goal at 12:51 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 49% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.3 to 1.9; shots on goal were WPG 18, CGY 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 0.6 goals below expected; Cam Talbot stopped 17 of 18 (.944), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Johnny Gaudreau (1 G), 2. Andrew Mangiapane (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mikael Backlund (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    J. Gaudreau1 G
  2. ★★
    CGY
    A. Mangiapane1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    M. Backlund1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG170605118
CGYCGY0931816433

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    A. Copp(1)
    A. Lowry (1), D. Kulikov (1)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +4 pts
    1-0
    8:51

2nd period

  1. CGY
    J. Gaudreau(1)PPG
    S. Monahan (1), E. Gustafsson (1)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    7:06
  2. CGY
    T. Rieder(1)SHG
    T. Brodie (1)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +22 pts
    1-2
    12:51
  3. CGY
    M. Backlund(1)PPG
    A. Mangiapane (1), M. Lucic (1)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    18:14

3rd period

  1. CGY
    A. Mangiapane(1)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.92
    1-4
    18:19

Penalties

WPG 13 PIM·CGY 19 PIM

1st

  • 2:17CGYRasmus Andersson · Slashingdrawn by Patrik Laine2 min
  • 8:20WPGBlake Wheeler · Fightingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk5 min
  • 8:20CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Fightingdrawn by Blake Wheeler5 min
  • 11:15CGYAndrew Mangiapane · Interferencedrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min
  • 14:19WPGAdam Lowry · Hookingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 15:34CGYserved by M. Tkachuk · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 2:38WPGTucker Poolman · Interferencedrawn by Milan Lucic2 min
  • 5:57WPGNathan Beaulieu · Slashingdrawn by Tobias Rieder2 min
  • 11:23CGYSam Bennett · Hookingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min
  • 16:33WPGCody Eakin · Interferencedrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min

3rd

  • 2:11CGYMilan Lucic · Holdingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min
  • 9:54CGYMilan Lucic · Trippingdrawn by Andrew Copp2 min
  • 14:20CGYErik Gustafsson · Slashingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalWPG goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Tobias Rieder, 2nd 12:51 — CGY 49% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Mangiapane · Goal · xG 0.92E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.19D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.15S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.13D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.12M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.12A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.11M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.11M. Lucic · Missed · xG 0.11R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.11S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.10S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.10D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.10T. Rieder · Goal · xG 0.09M. Backlund · Goal · xG 0.07J. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.07D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.06S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.06E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.05M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.04E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.04A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.04E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.04D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.03E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.00D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY4 G · 3.3 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsCGY
1.91 G
All situations
3 G3.3
1.41 G
Even strength
0 G1.3
0.50 G
Power play
2 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG40%60%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.88 – 2.39

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsCGY
18
Shots on goal
33
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/7
Power play
2/4
13
Penalty minutes
19
34
Hits
30
8
Blocked shots
7
18
Giveaways
14
7
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
81K. ConnorL000-120.48000—23:43
4N. PionkD000010.15110—23:28
26B. WheelerR000-200.083055021:27
28J. RoslovicC000020.072006020:54
29P. LaineL000-130.17210—19:28
9A. CoppC101020.2510010018:13
12D. DeMeloD000010.14120—18:09
7D. KulikovD011+100.00110—17:58
44J. MorrisseyD000-210.12200—17:34
20C. EakinC000-100.003025016:34
27N. EhlersL000-120.1730010016:34
17A. LowryC011+110.003122916:12
88N. BeaulieuD000000.01612—15:22
3T. PoolmanD000000.00302—14:14
85M. PerreaultC000-110.1310010011:50
82M. AppletonC000+120.10000010:17
21N. ShoreC000000.001105008:23
55M. ScheifeleC000000.001005002:59
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)32293.9062.42-0.5859:51

Series

CGY leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).