Skip to content

Edmonton Oilers at Chicago Blackhawks

FinalTV NBCSN, NHL.TV·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Edmonton Oilers 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dominik Kubalik's goal at 8:30 of the third period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 52% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.2 to 2.9; shots on goal were EDM 45, CHI 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Mikko Koskinen stopped 26 of 29 (.897); Corey Crawford stopped 43 of 45 (.956), 2.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Corey Crawford (43 saves, .956), 2. Jonathan Toews (2 A), 3. Dominik Kubalik (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    C. Crawford43 saves, .956
  2. ★★
    CHI
    J. Toews2 A
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    D. Kubalik1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM110115020245
CHICHI2120918329

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    slapxG 0.13win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    0:45
  2. CHI
    wrap-aroundxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    5:16
  3. CHI
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    7:56

2nd period

  1. EDM
    slapxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    2:02

3rd period

  1. CHI
    slapxG 0.10win prob +30 pts
    2-3
    8:30

Penalties

EDM 6 PIM·CHI 11 PIM

1st

  • 15:54EDMDarnell Nurse · Holdingdrawn by Jonathan Toews2 min
  • 20:00CHIMatthew Highmore · High stickingdrawn by Alex Chiasson2 min

2nd

  • 2:32CHIAlex DeBrincat · Boardingdrawn by Ethan Bear5 min
  • 4:48EDMDarnell Nurse · Interferencedrawn by Drake Caggiula2 min
  • 19:49CHIDominik Kubalik · Slashingdrawn by Josh Archibald2 min

3rd

  • 4:26CHIDrake Caggiula · Cross checkingdrawn by Andreas Athanasiou2 min
  • 17:57EDMserved by A. Athanasiou · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalEDM goalFinal: CHI 100%

Biggest swing: Dominik Kubalik, 3rd 8:30 — CHI 52% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.39A. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.22D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.18A. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.16J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.15K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.13J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.13P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.13A. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.12A. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.12D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.11M. Highmore · On goal · xG 0.11K. Dach · Missed · xG 0.10D. Kubalik · Goal · xG 0.10M. Highmore · Goal · xG 0.10B. Saad · Goal · xG 0.09P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.08K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.07A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.06K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.04D. Caggiula · Missed · xG 0.04K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.04C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.03C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.02M. Highmore · Missed · xG 0.02D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.02A. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.02R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.01A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.01P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kubalik · Missed · xG 0.01R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.01C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.01C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.00D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.00C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI3 G · 2.9 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsCHI
4.22 G
All situations
3 G2.9
3.32 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
0.90 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM69%31%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.10 – 2.86

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsCHI
45
Shots on goal
29
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/5
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
11
26
Hits
21
10
Blocked shots
21
11
Giveaways
12
10
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
97C. McDavidC022+120.134003526:39
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC101+191.45100025:22
77O. KlefbomD000-150.10010—25:13
29L. DraisaitlC000-130.130105424:47
25D. NurseD011030.15214—23:42
74E. BearD000-110.02020—20:00
4K. RussellD000-110.01200—17:40
56K. YamamotoR000-210.35100—15:48
39A. ChiassonR000020.11100—14:16
18J. NealL011+130.25000—14:06
82C. JonesD000010.03030—14:01
28A. AthanasiouC000-230.69100013:53
15J. ArchibaldR101010.13200—12:55
83M. BenningD000010.03410—11:43
91G. HaasC000040.143004210:37
44Z. KassianR000020.32010—10:18
16J. KhairaL000030.21300—06:55
23R. SheahanC000000.002005606:51
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
19M. Koskinen(L)29263.8972.90-0.1059:18

Series

CHI leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).