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Edmonton Oilers at Chicago Blackhawks

FinalTV NBCSN, NHL.TV·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Edmonton Oilers 4-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Oilers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonathan Toews's goal at 18:44 of the third period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 52% to 97%. Expected goals were close — EDM 2.8, CHI 2.6; shots on goal were EDM 28, CHI 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Mikko Koskinen stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.4 goals below expected; Corey Crawford stopped 25 of 28 (.893). Three stars: 1. Jonathan Toews (2 G), 2. Olli Maatta (1 G, 1 A), 3. Leon Draisaitl (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    J. Toews2 G
  2. ★★
    CHI
    O. Maatta1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM1921108328
CHICHI290828425

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    slapxG 0.03win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    9:14
  2. EDM
    slapxG 0.18win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    9:42
  3. CHI
    J. Toews(3)PPG
    wristxG 0.26win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    19:55

2nd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    4:07
  2. EDM
    wristxG 0.04win prob +24 pts
    3-2
    19:52

3rd period

  1. CHI
    slapxG 0.13win prob +38 pts
    3-3
    14:13
  2. CHI
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +45 pts
    3-4
    18:44

Penalties

EDM 14 PIM·CHI 10 PIM

1st

  • 2:53CHIJonathan Toews · Hookingdrawn by Ethan Bear2 min
  • 16:11EDMJosh Archibald · High stickingdrawn by Olli Maatta2 min
  • 16:27CHIDominik Kubalik · Interferencedrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min
  • 18:00EDMKailer Yamamoto · Holding the stickdrawn by Calvin de Haan2 min
  • 19:10EDMKris Russell · Holdingdrawn by Kirby Dach2 min

2nd

  • 1:39EDMKailer Yamamoto · Boardingdrawn by Connor Murphy2 min
  • 6:34EDMJosh Archibald · Interferencedrawn by Dominik Kubalik2 min
  • 9:04CHIDavid Kampf · Hookingdrawn by Josh Archibald2 min
  • 11:42EDMAndreas Athanasiou · Holdingdrawn by Patrick Kane2 min
  • 18:10CHIAlex DeBrincat · Slashingdrawn by Matt Benning2 min
  • 18:10CHIAlex DeBrincat · Roughingdrawn by Matt Benning2 min
  • 18:10EDMMatt Benning · Roughingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalEDM goalFinal: CHI 100%

Biggest swing: Jonathan Toews, 3rd 18:44 — CHI 52% → 97%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Toews · Goal · xG 0.26J. Toews · Missed · xG 0.24J. Toews · Missed · xG 0.19D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.15J. Toews · Missed · xG 0.15D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.15M. Highmore · Goal · xG 0.13B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.11J. Toews · Goal · xG 0.10J. Toews · Missed · xG 0.10D. Kubalik · Missed · xG 0.10B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.09D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.08B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.06A. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.06D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.06D. Kubalik · Missed · xG 0.05P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.05K. Dach · Missed · xG 0.04D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.04A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.04A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03D. Caggiula · Missed · xG 0.03A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.03P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.03J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.03O. Maatta · Goal · xG 0.02C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.02D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.02O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.02C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.02B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.02O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.01A. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.01K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kampf · Missed · xG 0.01A. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.01C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.00S. Koekkoek · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI4 G · 2.6 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsCHI
2.83 G
All situations
4 G2.6
1.92 G
Even strength
3 G1.4
0.91 G
Power play
1 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM54%46%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.82 – 2.60

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsCHI
28
Shots on goal
25
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/3
Power play
1/6
14
Penalty minutes
10
15
Hits
19
14
Blocked shots
13
6
Giveaways
10
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77O. KlefbomD000020.04230—27:07
29L. DraisaitlC213+160.980004824:22
25D. NurseD000-200.00030—23:45
74E. BearD000-200.02120—22:29
4K. RussellD000010.02252—21:16
97C. McDavidC101+130.400006221:10
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC011-260.39200020:36
56K. YamamotoR000+120.05004—19:02
15J. ArchibaldR000010.19304—14:16
18J. NealL000-120.281005013:58
16J. KhairaL000-100.031105013:56
39A. ChiassonR000-100.11100—12:28
28A. AthanasiouC000010.12002011:29
23R. SheahanC000-110.130005811:15
82C. JonesD000+110.02000—09:44
83M. BenningD011+110.02102—09:16
44Z. KassianR000-110.06100—06:20
63T. EnnisR011+100.00000—06:12
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
19M. Koskinen(L)25214.8402.61-1.3959:06

Series

CHI leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).