Blue Jackets at Maple Leafs 3-0 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Columbus Blue Jackets

▸3

Toronto Maple Leafs

FinalTV NBCSN, FS-O·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 3-0. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. The Blue Jackets led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Liam Foudy's goal at 11:40 of the third period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 82% to 97%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 2.3 to 1.9; shots on goal were CBJ 22, TOR 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 33 of 33 (1.000), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 19 of 21 (.905), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Joonas Korpisalo (33 saves, 1.000), 2. Zach Werenski (1 G), 3. Liam Foudy (1 G).

Three stars

★
J. Korpisalo33 saves, 1.000
★★
Z. Werenski1 G
★★★
L. Foudy1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
CBJ	17	08	27	322
TOR	06	013	014	033

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

Z. Werenski(1)
Unassisted
wristxG 0.01win prob +12 pts
1-0
6:29

3rd period

L. Foudy(1)
G. Nyquist (1), S. Jones (1)
wristxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
2-0
11:40
N. Foligno(1)EN
Unassisted
wristxG 0.95
3-0
19:37

Penalties

2 PIM·

4 PIM

1st

9:06served by W. Nylander · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

12:16Zach Werenski · Cross checkingdrawn by John Tavares2 min
19:30Travis Dermott · Trippingdrawn by Zach Werenski2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: TOR

Biggest swing: Liam Foudy, 3rd 11:40 — CBJ 82% → 97%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

0 G · 1.9 xG · 43 att

←

attacks

attacks →

3 G · 2.3 xG · 29 att TOR

0 G · 1.9 xG · 43 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.32 G
All situations: 0 G1.9; 1.22 G
Even strength: 0 G1.5; 0.10 G
Power play: 0 G0.3; 0.00 G
Shorthanded: 0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

39%61%

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.34 – 1.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

22
Shots on goal: 33; 48%
Faceoffs: 52%; 0/2
Power play: 0/1; 2
Penalty minutes: 4; 28
Hits: 22; 14
Blocked shots: 16; 13
Giveaways: 14; 2
Takeaways: 2

Box score

every player line

Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
3S. JonesD	0	1	1	+2	1	0.01	1	1	0	—	26:29
58D. SavardD	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	1	3	0	—	23:07
8Z. WerenskiD	1	0	1	+2	2	0.02	3	1	2	—	22:44
42A. TexierL	0	0	0	+1	3	0.19	3	0	0	—	21:23
71N. FolignoL	1	0	1	+2	2	1.14	3	0	0	67	21:21
44V. GavrikovD	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	3	0	—	20:13
38B. JennerC	0	0	0	+2	1	0.12	4	0	0	45	19:56
18P. DuboisC	0	0	0	+1	1	0.10	3	0	0	56	19:27
13C. AtkinsonR	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	—	18:29
14G. NyquistR	0	1	1	+1	3	0.26	1	0	0	—	17:55
19L. FoudyC	1	0	1	+1	3	0.19	0	2	0	0	17:32
20R. NashC	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	5	2	0	43	15:14
10A. WennbergC	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	67	13:33
27R. MurrayD	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	—	11:46
28O. BjorkstrandR	0	0	0	0	3	0.24	0	0	0	—	10:45
46D. KukanD	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	1	0	0	—	10:28
50E. RobinsonL	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	1	0	—	05:48
65M. NutivaaraD	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	—	01:50

Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
70J. Korpisalo(W)	33	33	0	1.000	1.86	+1.86	60:00

Series

CBJ leads 3-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Columbus Blue Jackets at Toronto Maple Leafs

1st period

3rd period

1st

2nd

Box score