Blue Jackets at Maple Leafs 2-0 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Columbus Blue Jackets

▸2

Toronto Maple Leafs

FinalTV NHLN, FS-O·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 2-0. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cam Atkinson's goal at 1:05 of the third period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 47% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 2.8 to 2.0; shots on goal were CBJ 35, TOR 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 28 of 28 (1.000), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Joonas Korpisalo (28 saves, 1.000), 2. Cam Atkinson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Frederik Andersen (33 saves, .971).

Three stars

★
J. Korpisalo28 saves, 1.000
★★
C. Atkinson1 G, 1 A
★★★
F. Andersen33 saves, .971

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
CBJ	08	014	213	235
TOR	011	08	09	028

Scoring

2 goals

3rd period

C. Atkinson(1)
D. Savard (1)
snapxG 0.05win prob +25 pts
1-0
1:05
A. Wennberg(1)EN
N. Foligno (1), C. Atkinson (1)
wristxG 0.80win prob +3 pts
2-0
19:41

Penalties

2 PIM·

14 PIM

1st

19:23Cody Ceci · Interferencedrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min

2nd

5:54Cam Atkinson · Trippingdrawn by Justin Holl2 min

3rd

4:24Cody Ceci · Trippingdrawn by Cam Atkinson2 min
20:00Kasperi Kapanen · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: TOR

Biggest swing: Cam Atkinson, 3rd 1:05 — CBJ 47% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

0 G · 2.0 xG · 44 att

←

attacks

attacks →

2 G · 2.8 xG · 55 att TOR

0 G · 2.0 xG · 44 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.81 G
All situations: 0 G2.0; 1.71 G
Even strength: 0 G1.8; 0.20 G
Power play: 0 G0.2; 0.10 G
Shorthanded: 0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

48%52%

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.91 – 2.01

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

35
Shots on goal: 28; 42%
Faceoffs: 58%; 0/2
Power play: 0/1; 2
Penalty minutes: 14; 37
Hits: 26; 18
Blocked shots: 14; 8
Giveaways: 6; 7
Takeaways: 6

Box score

every player line

Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
3S. JonesD	0	0	0	+1	1	0.12	7	1	0	—	26:54
8Z. WerenskiD	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	2	0	0	—	25:20
58D. SavardD	0	1	1	+2	1	0.06	2	5	0	—	20:56
28O. BjorkstrandR	0	0	0	0	4	0.52	1	1	0	—	19:38
18P. DuboisC	0	0	0	0	2	0.42	1	4	0	44	19:17
44V. GavrikovD	0	0	0	+1	3	0.06	3	2	0	—	18:05
38B. JennerC	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	3	0	0	59	17:38
14G. NyquistR	0	0	0	0	0	0.07	3	0	0	50	17:28
42A. TexierL	0	0	0	0	4	0.15	0	0	0	—	17:08
71N. FolignoL	0	1	1	+2	1	0.01	5	0	0	—	16:19
27R. MurrayD	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	0	0	—	14:58
13C. AtkinsonR	1	1	2	+2	1	0.07	0	3	2	—	14:39
10A. WennbergC	1	0	1	+2	3	0.86	1	1	0	33	14:33
19L. FoudyC	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	1	0	0	0	13:19
46D. KukanD	0	0	0	0	4	0.05	1	0	0	—	13:04
20R. NashC	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	5	0	0	25	10:03
50E. RobinsonL	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	1	1	0	—	09:32
52E. BemstromC	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	1	0	0	0	09:09

Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
70J. Korpisalo(W)	28	28	0	1.000	2.01	+2.01	60:00

Series

CBJ leads 3-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Columbus Blue Jackets at Toronto Maple Leafs

3rd period

1st

2nd

3rd

Box score