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New York Rangers at Colorado Avalanche

Final/OTTV ESPN+, MSG+·Pepsi Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the New York Rangers 3-2 in overtime, J.T. Compher scoring at 2:50. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Avalanche led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was J.T. Compher's goal at 2:50 of overtime, which took the Avalanche's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.2 to 2.2; shots on goal were NYR 32, COL 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.8 goals below expected; Pavel Francouz stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. J.T. Compher (1 G), 2. Pavel Francouz (30 saves, .938), 3. Vladislav Namestnikov (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    J. Compher1 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    P. Francouz30 saves, .938
  3. ★★★
    COL
    V. Namestnikov1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYRNYR11001011200232
COLCOL18190912328

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    6:28
  2. COL
    T. Jost(8)PPG
    wristxG 0.08win prob +9 pts
    1-1
    11:27

2nd period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    3:55

3rd period

  1. NYR
    A. Panarin (63), A. Fox (34)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +44 pts
    2-2
    19:47

Overtime

  1. COL
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    2:50

Penalties

NYR 12 PIM·COL 10 PIM

1st

  • 3:09COLGabriel Landeskog · Holdingdrawn by Jesper Fast2 min
  • 11:02NYRserved by P. Buchnevich · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 19:53COLVladislav Kamenev · Hookingdrawn by Tony DeAngelo2 min

2nd

  • 1:10COLTyson Jost · Slashingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min
  • 3:43NYRBrendan Smith · Trippingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min
  • 5:03NYRAdam Fox · Closing hand on puck2 min

3rd

  • 4:43NYRBrendan Smith · Roughingdrawn by Martin Kaut2 min
  • 4:43COLMartin Kaut · Roughingdrawn by Brendan Smith2 min
  • 4:43NYRBrendan Smith · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Matt Nieto0 min
  • 5:11NYRArtemi Panarin · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Graves2 min
  • 10:21COLNikita Zadorov · Interferencedrawn by Jesper Fast2 min
  • 17:08NYRBrendan Lemieux · Interferencedrawn by Joonas Donskoi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalNYR goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: J.T. Compher, OT 2:50 — COL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.25J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.18G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.17C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.14G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.12G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.11J. Compher · Goal · xG 0.11J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.09V. Kamenev · Missed · xG 0.09V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.08T. Jost · Goal · xG 0.08P. Bellemare · Missed · xG 0.07T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.07T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.06V. Kamenev · On goal · xG 0.05G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.05M. Kaut · On goal · xG 0.05V. Namestnikov · Goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.04S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.04M. Barberio · On goal · xG 0.03M. Nieto · Missed · xG 0.03G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.03G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.03I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.03S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.03N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.02J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.02E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.01V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.01P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kaut · On goal · xG 0.01R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.00S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.00
COL3 G · 2.2 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsCOL
3.22 G
All situations
3 G2.2
1.92 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
1.20 G
Power play
2 G0.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR67%33%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.14 – 2.20

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsCOL
32
Shots on goal
28
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/4
Power play
2/5
12
Penalty minutes
10
13
Hits
20
15
Blocked shots
20
2
Giveaways
8
6
Takeaways
16

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
93M. ZibanejadC101+260.610006226:24
10A. PanarinL011+160.36002—25:59
77T. DeAngeloD000+220.05010—25:16
16R. StromeC000+120.760302021:47
89P. BuchnevichL101+150.52100—21:02
23A. FoxD022000.00022—20:58
8J. TroubaD000010.03010—20:13
42B. SmithD000000.02324—18:44
55R. LindgrenD000010.02110—16:27
17J. FastR000030.54110—16:26
18M. StaalD000+120.02100—15:32
21B. HowdenC000000.000104214:00
48B. LemieuxL000-100.04402—13:24
24K. KakkoR000030.15110—10:36
14G. McKeggC000000.001005009:54
33P. Di GiuseppeL011+100.00010—08:53
29S. FogartyC000000.000106008:36
12J. GauthierR000010.05000—07:01
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev(O)28253.8932.20-0.8061:44

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).