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Avalanche at Rangers
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
3
New York Rangers
▸5
FinalTV NBCSN, SN·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Colorado Avalanche 5-3. The Rangers came back from two goals down. The Rangers led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Strome's goal at 13:39 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.2 to 2.4; shots on goal were COL 32, NYR 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.3 goals below expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Artemi Panarin (1 G, 2 A), 2. Ryan Strome (1 G, 1 A), 3. Tony DeAngelo (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    A. Panarin1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    R. Strome1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    T. DeAngelo2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL29110013332
NYRNYR2112919529

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    J. Compher(6)
    S. Girard (22), A. Burakovsky (13)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:44
  2. COL
    N. MacKinnon(26)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    6:34
  3. NYR
    C. Kreider(13)PPG
    R. Strome (27), T. DeAngelo (22)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    2-1
    8:57
  4. NYR
    M. Zibanejad(17)
    T. DeAngelo (23), J. Fast (9)
    slapxG 0.18win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    15:23

2nd period

  1. NYR
    B. Skjei(6)
    A. Fox (18), A. Panarin (34)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +18 pts
    2-3
    8:05
  2. COL
    J. Compher(7)
    A. Burakovsky (14), V. Nichushkin (9)
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +19 pts
    3-3
    11:32
  3. NYR
    R. Strome(12)
    J. Fast (10), A. Panarin (35)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +20 pts
    3-4
    13:39

3rd period

  1. NYR
    A. Panarin(23)EN
    M. Zibanejad (16), J. Fast (11)
    wristxG 0.45win prob +5 pts
    3-5
    19:32

Penalties

COL 21 PIM·NYR 11 PIM

1st

  • 8:42COLJoonas Donskoi · Holdingdrawn by Marc Staal2 min
  • 11:04NYRJacob Trouba · Interferencedrawn by Matt Nieto2 min
  • 16:23NYRRyan Lindgren · Fightingdrawn by Nazem Kadri5 min
  • 16:23COLNazem Kadri · Instigatordrawn by Ryan Lindgren2 min
  • 16:23COLNazem Kadri · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Lindgren5 min
  • 16:23COLNazem Kadri · Instigator misconductdrawn by Ryan Lindgren10 min

2nd

  • 2:20NYRBrett Howden · Interferencedrawn by Ian Cole2 min

3rd

  • 6:15NYRRyan Strome · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Graves2 min
  • 11:50COLCale Makar · High stickingdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalCOL goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Strome, 2nd 13:39 — NYR 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Panarin · Goal · xG 0.45M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.29J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.24M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.18B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.17R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.16M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.14R. Strome · Goal · xG 0.12C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.11F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.10P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.10F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.10C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.09A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.09C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.07P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.07A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.06A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.06A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.06A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.06A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.05J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.05M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.05A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.04B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.04P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.04B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.04B. Skjei · Goal · xG 0.03J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.02T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.02R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.02C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR5 G · 3.2 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsNYR
2.43 G
All situations
4 G3.2
2.13 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL45%55%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.43 – 2.70

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsNYR
32
Shots on goal
29
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/3
Power play
1/3
21
Penalty minutes
11
19
Hits
28
12
Blocked shots
12
7
Giveaways
9
4
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
29N. MacKinnonC101030.251103623:50
8C. MakarD000-340.20022—23:12
96M. RantanenR000-120.1200010021:34
27R. GravesD000010.03110—21:16
6E. JohnsonD000+210.00340—20:45
49S. GirardD011+210.03000—19:48
92G. LandeskogL000040.332103819:47
37J. CompherL202-140.240105519:41
91N. KadriC000-110.1410176714:39
95A. BurakovskyL022+120.16000—14:19
17T. JostC000-130.271004014:09
28I. ColeD000-110.02210—14:07
11M. CalvertL000020.02200—14:01
41P. BellemareL000-110.150003313:47
16N. ZadorovD000-100.00210—13:22
13V. NichushkinR011010.41300—13:03
83M. NietoL000-110.07100—12:52
72J. DonskoiR000000.00002—04:07
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(L)28244.8572.74-1.2658:23

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).