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Colorado Avalanche at Los Angeles Kings

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Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Colorado Avalanche 3-1. The Kings scored first and never trailed. The Kings led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pierre-Edouard Bellemare's goal at 2:19 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 8% to 23%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 4.6 to 2.2; shots on goal were COL 22, LAK 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Pavel Francouz stopped 32 of 35 (.914), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Quick (21 saves, .955), 2. Mikey Anderson (1 G), 3. Drew Doughty (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    J. Quick21 saves, .955
  2. ★★
    LAK
    M. Anderson1 G
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    D. Doughty1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL0408110122
LAKLAK21101618335

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.13win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    14:22
  2. LAK
    wristxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    15:25

3rd period

  1. COL
    I. Cole (22)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    2:19
  2. LAK
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +10 pts
    1-3
    14:35

Penalties

COL 4 PIM·LAK 2 PIM

1st

  • 6:30COLSamuel Girard · Cross checkingdrawn by Blake Lizotte2 min

2nd

  • 6:04LAKMatt Roy · Interferencedrawn by Gabriel Landeskog2 min
  • 13:15LAKSean Walker · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Valeri Nichushkin0 min

3rd

  • 2:55COLNikita Zadorov · Holdingdrawn by Austin Wagner2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalCOL goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Pierre-Edouard Bellemare, 3rd 2:19 — COL 8% → 23%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.85A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.71A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.54G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.30T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.21G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.20A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.20M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.16T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.16B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.14A. Wagner · Goal · xG 0.13A. Iafallo · Goal · xG 0.12A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.10N. Prokhorkin · On goal · xG 0.09N. Prokhorkin · On goal · xG 0.08T. Lewis · Missed · xG 0.07T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.06A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.05D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.05N. Prokhorkin · On goal · xG 0.04A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.04D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.03B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.03B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.02D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.02S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02K. MacDermid · On goal · xG 0.02B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.02M. Anderson · Goal · xG 0.02M. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.01M. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.01M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.01B. Hutton · Missed · xG 0.01K. MacDermid · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.00B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.00B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK3 G · 4.6 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsLAK
2.21 G
All situations
3 G4.6
1.71 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL45%55%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.15 – 2.43

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsLAK
22
Shots on goal
35
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
26
Hits
17
15
Blocked shots
16
6
Giveaways
10
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6E. JohnsonD000020.19310—25:08
49S. GirardD000-110.06012—24:01
27R. GravesD000-230.11320—23:10
92G. LandeskogL000-110.352104321:53
37J. CompherL000020.081302519:58
17T. JostC000-110.05100019:18
41P. BellemareL101+110.040005018:11
16N. ZadorovD000+100.15312—17:43
13V. NichushkinR000030.38120—17:04
83M. NietoL000+100.07000—16:28
90V. NamestnikovC000-200.07100016:26
72J. DonskoiR000-120.22000—16:24
28I. ColeD011-120.13200—16:20
7K. ConnautonD000-100.00220—13:15
29N. MacKinnonC000-110.221103309:53
81V. KamenevC000-110.012005709:47
25L. O'ConnorR000010.04410—07:10
44M. BarberioD000-110.00000—05:12
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39P. Francouz(L)35323.9144.02+1.0258:39

Season series

LAK leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).