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Kings at Avalanche
NHL

Los Angeles Kings at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Los Angeles Kings
▸3
Colorado Avalanche
1
FinalTV NBC, SN360·Falcon Stadium

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Colorado Avalanche 3-1. The Kings scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Toffoli's goal at 19:05 of the third period, which took the Kings' chances from 49% to 95%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 2.7 to 2.4; shots on goal were LAK 23, COL 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 14 of 15 (.933). Three stars: 1. Tyler Toffoli (3 G), 2. Jonathan Quick (32 saves, .970), 3. Samuel Girard (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    T. Toffoli3 G
  2. ★★
    LAK
    J. Quick32 saves, .970
  3. ★★★
    COL
    S. Girard1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK1705211323
COLCOL01511107133

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    T. Toffoli(16)
    A. Iafallo (19), J. Ryan (3)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    14:01

2nd period

  1. COL
    S. Girard(3)
    M. Rantanen (21)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +23 pts
    1-1
    19:18

3rd period

  1. LAK
    T. Toffoli(17)
    A. Kopitar (33)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +46 pts
    2-1
    19:05
  2. LAK
    T. Toffoli(18)EN
    A. Kopitar (34), A. Iafallo (20)
    wristxG 0.87win prob +5 pts
    3-1
    19:55

Penalties

LAK 4 PIM·COL 4 PIM

1st

  • 7:07LAKJeff Carter · Hookingdrawn by Vladislav Kamenev2 min
  • 7:10COLGabriel Landeskog · Trippingdrawn by Anze Kopitar2 min

3rd

  • 9:10LAKBlake Lizotte · Holdingdrawn by J.T. Compher2 min
  • 9:27COLAndre Burakovsky · Interferencedrawn by Drew Doughty2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalLAK goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Tyler Toffoli, 3rd 19:05 — LAK 49% → 95%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.23T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.20C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.18V. Kamenev · On goal · xG 0.18E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.18M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.12M. Nieto · Missed · xG 0.11N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.10G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.09E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.08M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.08T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.07P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.07A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.06S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.05G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.05S. Girard · Goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.03P. Bellemare · Missed · xG 0.03J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.03M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.03R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.03S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.02V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.02E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.02I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.01V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.01I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.01S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.00R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.00M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.00
COL1 G · 2.4 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsCOL
2.72 G
All situations
1 G2.4
1.52 G
Even strength
1 G2.4
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK39%61%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.80 – 2.37

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsCOL
23
Shots on goal
33
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
25
Hits
24
9
Blocked shots
18
5
Giveaways
6
3
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD000+200.05310—22:29
3M. RoyD000+100.00200—20:21
27A. MartinezD000+130.04220—20:20
6J. RyanD011+210.02120—20:02
11A. KopitarC022+300.060005019:53
26S. WalkerD000-110.05210—19:53
19A. IafalloL022+320.07000—18:31
73T. ToffoliC303+351.19130018:25
56K. MacDermidL000-110.02400—16:55
23D. BrownR000020.16000—15:29
9A. KempeR000-120.3830010014:58
77J. CarterC000-120.260024014:18
29M. FrkR000-110.01000—14:04
12T. MooreL000020.2320010013:55
46B. LizotteC000000.001023813:08
10M. AmadioR000000.000002011:42
51A. WagnerL000010.16400—11:29
22T. LewisC000000.01000010:11
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Quick(W)33321.9702.41+1.4160:00

Season series

LAK leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).