Toronto Maple Leafs at San Jose Sharks
Recap
written from the game dataThe San Jose Sharks beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 5-2. The Sharks scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Stefan Noesen's goal at 5:48 of the third period, which took the Sharks' chances from 52% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 4.0 to 2.6; shots on goal were TOR 27, SJS 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Jack Campbell stopped 33 of 37 (.892), 1.3 goals below expected; Martin Jones stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Evander Kane (2 G), 2. Auston Matthews (1 G, 1 A), 3. Antti Suomela (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★E. Kane2 G

- ★★A. Matthews1 G, 1 A

- ★★★A. Suomela1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
0-16:38
2nd period
1-12:48
1-23:54
2-217:27
3rd period
2-35:48
2-46:38
2-519:03
Penalties
1st
- 3:11
Noah Gregor · Trippingdrawn by Martin Marincin2 min
- 6:08
Travis Dermott · Interferencedrawn by Timo Meier2 min
2nd
- 8:19
Justin Holl · Interferencedrawn by Noah Gregor2 min
- 17:53
Noah Gregor · Hookingdrawn by Auston Matthews2 min
3rd
- 11:50
Mario Ferraro · Holdingdrawn by Auston Matthews2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Stefan Noesen, 3rd 5:48 — 52% → 79%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.62 G
- All situations
- 4 G4.0
- 1.42 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.3
- 0.90 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.3
- 0.30 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.60 – 2.68
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 27
- Shots on goal
- 38
- 55%
- Faceoffs
- 45%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 1/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 18
- Hits
- 18
- 11
- Blocked shots
- 15
- 11
- Giveaways
- 10
- 7
- Takeaways
- 12
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
1@
4Final
2@
5this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
