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Sharks at Maple Leafs
NHL

San Jose Sharks at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
San Jose Sharks
1
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸4
FinalTV NBCSCA, SN1·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the San Jose Sharks 4-1. The Sharks scored first; the Maple Leafs answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Morgan Rielly's goal at 14:31 of the third period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 52% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 4.3 to 0.9; shots on goal were SJS 17, TOR 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Martin Jones stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 0.5 goals below expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 16 of 17 (.941). Three stars: 1. Morgan Rielly (1 G), 2. Ilya Mikheyev (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jake Muzzin (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    M. Rielly1 G
  2. ★★
    TOR
    I. Mikheyev1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    J. Muzzin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS170307117
TORTOR0819310427

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    K. Labanc(4)
    B. Burns (8), T. Hertl (7)
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    10:35

2nd period

  1. TOR
    J. Muzzin(2)
    J. Spezza (2), I. Mikheyev (5)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +23 pts
    1-1
    19:57

3rd period

  1. TOR
    M. Rielly(3)
    W. Nylander (5)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +37 pts
    1-2
    14:31
  2. TOR
    I. Mikheyev(4)EN
    M. Marner (10)
    wristxG 0.91win prob +5 pts
    1-3
    19:12
  3. TOR
    A. Matthews(9)
    M. Marner (11)
    wristxG 0.06
    1-4
    19:30

Penalties

SJS 10 PIM·TOR 2 PIM

1st

  • 0:39SJSLogan Couture · Slashingdrawn by Jake Muzzin2 min
  • 10:55TORCody Ceci · Holdingdrawn by Brent Burns2 min

2nd

  • 9:30SJSMario Ferraro · Trippingdrawn by Auston Matthews2 min
  • 11:42SJSBarclay Goodrow · Hookingdrawn by Auston Matthews2 min

3rd

  • 0:30SJSTimo Meier · Closing hand on puck2 min
  • 3:38SJSMelker Karlsson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalSJS goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Morgan Rielly, 3rd 14:31 — TOR 52% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.91I. Mikheyev · Goal · xG 0.91J. Muzzin · Goal · xG 0.25W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.21A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.16W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.13I. Mikheyev · Missed · xG 0.13A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.12A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.11J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.10W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.10M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.09M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.09A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.08A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.08A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.07A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.07M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.06A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.06M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.06A. Johnsson · Missed · xG 0.05I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.05I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.04M. Rielly · Goal · xG 0.04T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.03C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.03A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.03J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.02J. Muzzin · Missed · xG 0.02I. Mikheyev · Missed · xG 0.02T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.02T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.01J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.01T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.01A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.01J. Muzzin · Missed · xG 0.01I. Mikheyev · Missed · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.01A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR4 G · 4.3 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsTOR
0.91 G
All situations
3 G4.3
0.81 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS20%80%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 0.95 – 2.45

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsTOR
17
Shots on goal
27
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/1
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
2
19
Hits
12
16
Blocked shots
11
15
Giveaways
19
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88B. BurnsD011-210.03020—26:32
65E. KarlssonD000-130.05000—24:42
4B. DillonD000-210.04500—21:38
44M. VlasicD000+120.02010—20:44
39L. CoutureC000-110.081122218:29
28T. MeierR000020.32222—17:45
48T. HertlC011-200.000305017:40
9E. KaneL000-230.1211010016:59
12P. MarleauC000000.0001010016:57
38M. FerraroD000-100.00122—16:34
23B. GoodrowC000-100.003125014:50
19J. ThorntonC000010.031106713:24
62K. LabancR101-110.08200—13:11
20M. SorensenL000000.09110—12:26
68M. KarlssonC000-100.00102012:24
7D. GambrellC000-100.031004011:00
72T. HeedD000-110.04000—08:15
52L. RadilC000-110.02000007:52
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31M. Jones(L)26233.8852.48-0.5258:38

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).