Calgary Flames at Boston Bruins
Recap
written from the game dataThe Calgary Flames beat the Boston Bruins 5-2. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sean Monahan's goal at 13:25 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 47% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.2 to 2.2; shots on goal were CGY 31, BOS 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. David Rittich stopped 26 of 28 (.929); Tuukka Rask stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sean Monahan (2 G), 2. Chris Wagner (1 G), 3. Matthew Tkachuk (1 G, 2 A).
Three stars
- ★S. Monahan2 G

- ★★C. Wagner1 G

- ★★★M. Tkachuk1 G, 2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
1-011:35
2nd period
1-110:08
2-113:25
3-114:37
3rd period
3-213:09
4-218:30
5-219:11
Penalties
1st
- 6:44
TJ Brodie · Interferencedrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
- 14:50
Brad Marchand · Interferencedrawn by TJ Brodie2 min
2nd
- 8:46
Karson Kuhlman · Slashingdrawn by Noah Hanifin2 min
- 14:32
Matt Grzelcyk · Roughingdrawn by Dillon Dube2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Sean Monahan, 2nd 13:25 — 47% → 68%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.24 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.2
- 1.63 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.8
- 0.71 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.2
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 1 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.21 – 2.15
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 31
- Shots on goal
- 28
- 43%
- Faceoffs
- 57%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 27
- Hits
- 22
- 16
- Blocked shots
- 9
- 8
- Giveaways
- 13
- 11
- Takeaways
- 9
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
4@
3Final
5@
2this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
