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Calgary Flames at Boston Bruins

FinalTV NESN, SNW·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Boston Bruins 5-2. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sean Monahan's goal at 13:25 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 47% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.2 to 2.2; shots on goal were CGY 31, BOS 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. David Rittich stopped 26 of 28 (.929); Tuukka Rask stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sean Monahan (2 G), 2. Chris Wagner (1 G), 3. Matthew Tkachuk (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    S. Monahan2 G
  2. ★★
    BOS
    C. Wagner1 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    M. Tkachuk1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY17213211531
BOSBOS0911217228

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    11:35

2nd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.20win prob +19 pts
    1-1
    10:08
  2. CGY
    snapxG 0.16win prob +21 pts
    2-1
    13:25
  3. CGY
    S. Monahan(21)PPG
    deflectedxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    3-1
    14:37

3rd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.18win prob +12 pts
    3-2
    13:09
  2. CGY
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.13win prob +7 pts
    4-2
    18:30
  3. CGY
    wristxG 0.92
    5-2
    19:11

Penalties

CGY 2 PIM·BOS 6 PIM

1st

  • 6:44CGYTJ Brodie · Interferencedrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 14:50BOSBrad Marchand · Interferencedrawn by TJ Brodie2 min

2nd

  • 8:46BOSKarson Kuhlman · Slashingdrawn by Noah Hanifin2 min
  • 14:32BOSMatt Grzelcyk · Roughingdrawn by Dillon Dube2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalCGY goalFinal: BOS 0%

Biggest swing: Sean Monahan, 2nd 13:25 — CGY 47% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.20C. Wagner · Goal · xG 0.18D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.17P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.16K. Kuhlman · Missed · xG 0.12D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.12P. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.11C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.10Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.08B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.08C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.08P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.07J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.06D. Krejci · Missed · xG 0.06T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.06M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.06D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.05D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.04C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.03C. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.03T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.03B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.02B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.02C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.02T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.02S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.02B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.02S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.02T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.02D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.01J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.01S. Kuraly · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Chara · Missed · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.01B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.01B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.00B. Carlo · Missed · xG 0.00B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS2 G · 2.2 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsBOS
3.24 G
All situations
2 G2.2
1.63 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY51%49%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.21 – 2.15

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsBOS
31
Shots on goal
28
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/3
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
27
Hits
22
16
Blocked shots
9
8
Giveaways
13
11
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
56E. GustafssonD011010.02210—21:00
55N. HanifinD011030.05200—20:29
7T. BrodieD000+200.04232—20:03
4R. AnderssonD000+210.06220—19:45
19M. TkachukL123+330.14200—19:05
28E. LindholmC000+130.460103319:02
13J. GaudreauL011+140.37010—18:44
11M. BacklundC213+221.121104418:14
20D. ForbortD000020.02210—17:54
23S. MonahanC202+130.301005017:40
88A. MangiapaneL000+220.15200—17:12
26M. StoneD011+120.02410—16:59
10D. RyanC000-110.080004712:39
29D. DubeC000-200.00110012:24
17M. LucicL000-210.02300—11:59
77M. JankowskiL000000.111303711:50
93S. BennettC000020.04200011:41
16T. RiederL000010.14010—11:20
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33D. Rittich(W)28262.9292.17+0.1760:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).