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Bruins at Flames
NHL

Boston Bruins at Calgary Flames

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Boston Bruins
▸4
Calgary Flames
3
FinalTV ESPN+, NESN·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Calgary Flames 4-3. The Bruins came back from two goals down. The Bruins led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brad Marchand's goal at 0:52 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 47% to 63%. Expected goals were close — BOS 1.7, CGY 1.5; shots on goal were BOS 23, CGY 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Jaroslav Halak stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 1.5 goals below expected; Cam Talbot stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 2.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mikael Backlund (2 G), 2. Patrice Bergeron (2 G), 3. Johnny Gaudreau (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    M. Backlund2 G
  2. ★★
    BOS
    P. Bergeron2 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    J. Gaudreau1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS3121506423
CGYCGY3605010321

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    M. Backlund(11)
    R. Andersson (15), N. Hanifin (14)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:20
  2. CGY
    M. Backlund(12)
    T. Rieder (6), M. Tkachuk (31)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    2:34
  3. BOS
    P. Bergeron(28)
    D. Pastrnak (42), C. McAvoy (22)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    2:58
  4. CGY
    J. Gaudreau(15)
    E. Lindholm (22)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    1-3
    3:23
  5. BOS
    P. Bergeron(29)
    D. Pastrnak (43), B. Marchand (53)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +14 pts
    2-3
    6:12
  6. BOS
    C. Coyle(15)
    K. Kuhlman (5), A. Bjork (10)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    3-3
    12:20

2nd period

  1. BOS
    B. Marchand(24)
    B. Carlo (14), T. Krug (33)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    4-3
    0:52

Penalties

BOS 9 PIM·CGY 5 PIM

1st

  • 6:33BOSMatt Grzelcyk · Elbowingdrawn by Tobias Rieder2 min

2nd

  • 10:17CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Fightingdrawn by Jeremy Lauzon5 min
  • 10:17BOSJeremy Lauzon · Fightingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk5 min

3rd

  • 5:55BOSPatrice Bergeron · Trippingdrawn by Derek Ryan2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalBOS goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Brad Marchand, 2nd 0:52 — BOS 47% → 63%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Dube · Missed · xG 0.19A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.12S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.11J. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.10M. Backlund · Goal · xG 0.09A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.08D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.07D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.07R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.07J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.06D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.06M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.05S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.05J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.05M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.03R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Backlund · Goal · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.02T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.02S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY3 G · 1.5 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsCGY
1.74 G
All situations
3 G1.5
1.74 G
Even strength
3 G1.3
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 64 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS55%45%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.70 – 1.48

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsCGY
23
Shots on goal
21
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/0
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
5
20
Hits
22
19
Blocked shots
9
11
Giveaways
11
9
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD011+200.01030—23:08
25B. CarloD011-120.01120—21:43
33Z. CharaD000+110.02020—20:38
47T. KrugD011000.00100—19:42
63B. MarchandL112+150.31100—18:36
79J. LauzonD000000.00225—17:41
48M. GrzelcykD000020.06132—17:15
88D. PastrnakR022+210.14000—16:48
13C. CoyleC101+230.360003616:38
37P. BergeronC202+130.300026815:59
46D. KrejciC000-110.030204515:52
10A. BjorkL011+100.12320—15:28
74J. DeBruskL000-100.00010—14:21
43D. HeinenL000-120.15000—13:36
83K. KuhlmanC011+110.18200012:59
14C. WagnerR000-110.02210—12:25
52S. KuralyC000-100.002001412:17
81A. BlidhL000010.01510—10:54
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41J. Halak(W)21183.8571.49-1.5160:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).