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Winnipeg Jets at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV NBCSP, SN·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-2. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Scott Laughton's goal at 9:03 of the first period, which took the Flyers' chances from 67% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 2.6 to 1.6; shots on goal were WPG 29, PHI 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.4 goals below expected; Carter Hart stopped 27 of 29 (.931). Three stars: 1. Scott Laughton (2 G), 2. Patrik Laine (1 G), 3. Sean Couturier (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    S. Laughton2 G
  2. ★★
    WPG
    P. Laine1 G
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    S. Couturier1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG01011514229
PHIPHI21214114430

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:06
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    9:03

2nd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.18win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    14:50
  2. WPG
    snapxG 0.10win prob +7 pts
    1-3
    18:04

3rd period

  1. WPG
    P. Laine(26)PPG
    N. Pionk (36), B. Wheeler (36)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    2-3
    3:00
  2. PHI
    R. Hagg (10), J. Braun (16)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    2-4
    9:34

Penalties

WPG 6 PIM·PHI 4 PIM

1st

  • 6:25WPGNicholas Shore · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 6:54PHISean Couturier · Hookingdrawn by Mason Appleton2 min

3rd

  • 2:34PHIRobert Hagg · Interferencedrawn by Mason Appleton2 min
  • 7:21WPGKyle Connor · Trippingdrawn by Ivan Provorov2 min
  • 15:56WPGBlake Wheeler · Hookingdrawn by James van Riemsdyk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalWPG goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Scott Laughton, 1st 9:03 — PHI 67% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Couturier · Goal · xG 0.18C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.17J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.15J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.15S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.14S. Laughton · Goal · xG 0.13S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.13S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.12S. Laughton · Goal · xG 0.12S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.12K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.10J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.09T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.09M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.08J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.08C. Bunnaman · Missed · xG 0.08T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.07T. Pitlick · Goal · xG 0.07S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.07J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.06M. Raffl · Missed · xG 0.05K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.05I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.04P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.04S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.03S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.02R. Hagg · On goal · xG 0.02P. Myers · Missed · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.02S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.02M. Niskanen · Missed · xG 0.02J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.02K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.01J. Voracek · Missed · xG 0.01T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.01K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.01M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.01C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.01N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.01M. Niskanen · Missed · xG 0.00T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.00C. Bunnaman · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI4 G · 2.6 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsPHI
1.62 G
All situations
4 G2.6
1.41 G
Even strength
4 G2.2
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG30%70%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.56 – 2.62

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsPHI
29
Shots on goal
30
42%
Faceoffs
58%
1/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
19
Hits
21
12
Blocked shots
13
5
Giveaways
9
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4N. PionkD011-220.13110—22:38
9A. CoppC000-100.070003821:19
81K. ConnorL000-230.23022—20:44
27N. EhlersL011010.08000—20:27
7D. KulikovD000-100.02210—20:25
29P. LaineL101-280.4051010019:55
55M. ScheifeleC011-100.080002819:54
26B. WheelerR011-100.06012—19:35
88N. BeaulieuD000-110.03010—19:11
12D. DeMeloD000-110.02110—19:04
3T. PoolmanD000020.02120—18:57
44J. MorrisseyD101030.20100—17:19
28J. RoslovicC000-100.003004613:56
82M. AppletonC000-120.04000013:41
58J. HarkinsC000-110.06110009:55
21N. ShoreC000040.121027108:15
57G. BourqueL000000.00210—05:40
38L. ShawR000010.01100—05:11
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)30264.8672.64-1.3657:54

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).