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Flyers at Jets
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
3
Winnipeg Jets
▸7
FinalTV ESPN+, NBCSP+·Bell MTS Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Philadelphia Flyers 7-3. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 6-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Luca Sbisa's goal at 11:49 of the first period, which took the Jets' chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals were close — PHI 3.4, WPG 3.2; shots on goal were PHI 32, WPG 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Brian Elliott stopped 11 of 17 (.647), 4.0 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 29 of 32 (.906). Three stars: 1. Blake Wheeler (1 G, 2 A), 2. Neal Pionk (3 A), 3. Mark Scheifele (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    B. Wheeler1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    N. Pionk3 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI010211111332
WPGWPG284917724

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    N. Ehlers(14)
    J. Roslovic (7), B. Wheeler (16)
    slapxG 0.01win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:57
  2. WPG
    L. Sbisa(2)
    N. Pionk (14), A. Lowry (3)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    11:49

2nd period

  1. PHI
    M. Niskanen(4)PPG
    K. Hayes (8), J. van Riemsdyk (9)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    4:15
  2. WPG
    B. Wheeler(9)PPG
    J. Morrissey (16), M. Scheifele (19)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +8 pts
    1-3
    10:34
  3. WPG
    M. Scheifele(15)PPG
    B. Wheeler (17), N. Pionk (15)
    slapxG 0.16win prob +8 pts
    1-4
    13:15
  4. WPG
    L. Shaw(1)
    N. Shore (2), G. Bourque (3)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +3 pts
    1-5
    14:35
  5. WPG
    P. Laine(10)
    K. Connor (17)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +1 pts
    1-6
    14:51
  6. PHI
    J. van Riemsdyk(8)
    I. Provorov (13), K. Hayes (9)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +1 pts
    2-6
    19:32

3rd period

  1. WPG
    K. Connor(14)PPG
    M. Scheifele (20), N. Pionk (16)
    deflectedxG 0.16
    2-7
    6:43
  2. PHI
    S. Gostisbehere(5)
    N. Aube-Kubel (1), S. Couturier (16)
    snapxG 0.05
    3-7
    9:41

Penalties

PHI 21 PIM·WPG 4 PIM

1st

  • 5:31PHIMorgan Frost · Embellishmentdrawn by Jack Roslovic2 min
  • 5:31WPGJack Roslovic · Holdingdrawn by Morgan Frost2 min

2nd

  • 3:14WPGMark Scheifele · Hookingdrawn by Ivan Provorov2 min
  • 9:03PHIJoel Farabee · Interferencedrawn by Mathieu Perreault5 min
  • 9:03PHIJoel Farabee · Game misconduct10 min

3rd

  • 2:19PHITravis Sanheim · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 6:35PHIShayne Gostisbehere · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalPHI goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Luca Sbisa, 1st 11:49 — WPG 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.28N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.22M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.19P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.16J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.16K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.16M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.16J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.14A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.14K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.11G. Bourque · Missed · xG 0.11B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.11P. Laine · Goal · xG 0.11L. Shaw · Goal · xG 0.11G. Bourque · Missed · xG 0.10A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.10P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.10J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.09B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.09L. Shaw · Missed · xG 0.08A. Bitetto · On goal · xG 0.06K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.06J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.06N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.05B. Wheeler · Goal · xG 0.05P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.05J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03L. Sbisa · Goal · xG 0.02A. Bitetto · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.02A. Bitetto · On goal · xG 0.01A. Bitetto · Missed · xG 0.01A. Bitetto · Missed · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.00P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG7 G · 3.2 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsWPG
3.43 G
All situations
7 G3.2
2.82 G
Even strength
4 G2.4
0.51 G
Power play
3 G0.8
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI53%47%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.34 – 3.14

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsWPG
32
Shots on goal
24
42%
Faceoffs
58%
1/1
Power play
3/5
21
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
12
16
Blocked shots
4
11
Giveaways
9
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD011-140.16220—22:42
15M. NiskanenD101-140.21210—20:52
61J. BraunD000-100.01320—20:31
6T. SanheimD000-130.26022—20:13
28C. GirouxR000040.581004618:45
14S. CouturierC011+120.291002718:16
53S. GostisbehereD101010.07002—18:15
8R. HaggD000010.02220—17:05
13K. HayesR022-160.750005916:47
93J. VoracekR000-110.01110—14:52
25J. van RiemsdykL112010.12000—14:27
81C. TwarynskiL000-110.12220—13:54
48M. FrostC000-200.000121113:48
24M. VorobyevC000-120.0900010013:19
62N. Aube-KubelR011010.23310—13:07
44C. StewartR000-100.00300—12:45
72D. KaseR000000.00110—12:02
49J. FarabeeL000010.470115—09:12
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37B. Elliott(L)17116.6472.00-4.0040:00
79C. Hart761.8571.16+0.1620:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).