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Oilers at Hurricanes
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸4
Carolina Hurricanes
3
Final/OTTV FS-CR, SNW·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Carolina Hurricanes 4-3 in overtime, Josh Archibald scoring at 3:57. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Oilers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Josh Archibald's goal at 3:57 of overtime, which took the Oilers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.0 to 2.5; shots on goal were EDM 24, CAR 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 28 of 31 (.903); James Reimer stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (1 G, 2 A), 2. Sebastian Aho (2 G, 1 A), 3. Jaccob Slavin (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    S. Aho2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    J. Slavin2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
EDMEDM192110311424
CARCAR1101611005331

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    T. van Riemsdyk(1)
    J. Slavin (24), S. Aho (23)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:12
  2. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(34)
    J. Khaira (3), D. Nurse (21)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    6:28

2nd period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(32)
    J. Slavin (25)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    5:19
  2. EDM
    K. Yamamoto(9)PPG
    L. Draisaitl (60), O. Klefbom (28)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    14:33
  3. EDM
    J. Archibald(8)
    T. Benson (1)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +21 pts
    3-2
    15:01

3rd period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(33)
    A. Svechnikov (31), T. Teravainen (44)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +38 pts
    3-3
    14:58

Overtime

  1. EDM
    J. Archibald(9)
    L. Draisaitl (61)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    3:57

Penalties

EDM 8 PIM·CAR 8 PIM

1st

  • 4:27CARAndrei Svechnikov · High stickingdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min
  • 19:14EDMAdam Larsson · Slashingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min

2nd

  • 6:18EDMJosh Archibald · Roughingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
  • 6:18CARErik Haula · Roughingdrawn by Josh Archibald2 min
  • 6:18CARNino Niederreiter · Roughingdrawn by Josh Archibald2 min
  • 13:34CARErik Haula · Hookingdrawn by Matt Benning2 min

3rd

  • 5:30EDMJujhar Khaira · Holdingdrawn by Haydn Fleury2 min
  • 10:43EDMColby Cave · Trippingdrawn by Lucas Wallmark2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalEDM goalFinal: CAR 0%

Biggest swing: Josh Archibald, OT 3:57 — EDM 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.25S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.22S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.18R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.15T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.14R. Dzingel · Missed · xG 0.14S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.13A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.13J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.12E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.10M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.10J. Williams · Missed · xG 0.10M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.10A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.09S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.08W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.07T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.06W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.06A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.06H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.06A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.05S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.05W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.05M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.04T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.04J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.04H. Fleury · Missed · xG 0.03J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.03J. Gardiner · On goal · xG 0.03H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.03R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.02A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Gardiner · Missed · xG 0.02J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.01H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · Goal · xG 0.01J. Williams · Missed · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01H. Fleury · Missed · xG 0.01S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.01H. Fleury · Missed · xG 0.01W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR3 G · 3.0 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsCAR
2.54 G
All situations
3 G3.0
1.93 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM42%58%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.46 – 2.92

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsCAR
24
Shots on goal
31
41%
Faceoffs
59%
1/3
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
19
Hits
17
10
Blocked shots
14
6
Giveaways
8
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77O. KlefbomD011-220.05120—30:57
29L. DraisaitlC123-110.130004524:24
25D. NurseD011+200.00220—23:39
6A. LarssonD000-220.10202—23:21
74E. BearD000+130.06220—22:34
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000-320.31000022:22
56K. YamamotoR101-330.31000—22:00
15J. ArchibaldR202+230.42322—18:36
23R. SheahanC000+120.340004218:36
39A. ChiassonR000020.43000—14:37
49T. BensonL011+210.10010—12:47
60M. GranlundC000000.00000011:22
16J. KhairaL011+110.01302—10:55
12C. CaveC000000.001024010:47
52P. RussellR000010.19300—10:23
83M. BenningD000000.00110—10:01
91G. HaasC000010.030002509:52
82C. JonesD000000.00100—09:09
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41M. Smith(W)31283.9032.96-0.0463:26

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).