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Edmonton Oilers at Florida Panthers

FinalTV FS-F, SNW·BB&T Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Florida Panthers 4-1. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Leon Draisaitl's goal at 0:13 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 72% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.7 to 2.3; shots on goal were EDM 29, FLA 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Mikko Koskinen stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Samuel Montembeault stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (1 G, 1 A), 2. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (2 A), 3. Jonathan Huberdeau (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins2 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    J. Huberdeau1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM11106312429
FLAFLA01009115134

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    slapxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    15:14

3rd period

  1. EDM
    slapxG 0.22win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    0:13
  2. FLA
    slapxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    8:45
  3. EDM
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.00win prob +7 pts
    3-1
    18:02
  4. EDM
    wristxG 0.01
    4-1
    19:14

Penalties

EDM 16 PIM·FLA 12 PIM

1st

  • 16:43EDMJujhar Khaira · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Samuel Montembeault2 min

2nd

  • 5:17EDMMatt Benning · Fightingdrawn by Noel Acciari5 min
  • 5:17FLANoel Acciari · Fightingdrawn by Matt Benning5 min
  • 5:17FLANoel Acciari · Slashingdrawn by Matt Benning2 min
  • 10:58EDMJujhar Khaira · Fightingdrawn by Joshua Brown5 min
  • 10:58FLAJoshua Brown · Fightingdrawn by Jujhar Khaira5 min

3rd

  • 1:43EDMJosh Archibald · High stickingdrawn by Dominic Toninato2 min
  • 11:01EDMKailer Yamamoto · Slashingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalEDM goalFinal: FLA 0%

Biggest swing: Leon Draisaitl, 3rd 0:13 — EDM 72% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.19N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.17A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.14B. Connolly · On goal · xG 0.13M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.10J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.09F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.08J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.07M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.07C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.07R. Stillman · On goal · xG 0.06A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.06R. Stillman · On goal · xG 0.06B. Connolly · On goal · xG 0.06N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.06B. Connolly · On goal · xG 0.05M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.05E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.05V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.05A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.05M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.04J. Huberdeau · Goal · xG 0.04N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.04F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.04M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.04N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.03A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.03A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.03R. Stillman · Missed · xG 0.03N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.03A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.02M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.02A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.02J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.02F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.02A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.02F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.01A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.00K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA1 G · 2.3 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsFLA
3.72 G
All situations
1 G2.3
1.42 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM48%52%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.18 – 2.31

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsFLA
29
Shots on goal
34
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/1
Power play
0/3
16
Penalty minutes
12
8
Hits
20
17
Blocked shots
6
9
Giveaways
16
8
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77O. KlefbomD000010.07040—25:45
6A. LarssonD101+210.08020—25:19
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC022+230.93110024:42
29L. DraisaitlC112+350.570004523:35
25D. NurseD101+320.04220—23:13
74E. BearD000+110.01110—20:04
56K. YamamotoR123+340.90102—19:15
23R. SheahanC000010.120003117:40
15J. ArchibaldR000+120.08112—14:30
16J. KhairaL000020.231175012:53
49T. BensonL000+120.1900010012:46
82C. JonesD000000.00010—11:59
89S. GagnerC000000.00000011:36
39A. ChiassonR000020.36000—10:46
83M. BenningD000010.02105—10:26
91G. HaasC000000.060103310:12
52P. RussellR000-120.04020—09:59
12C. CaveC000000.000106708:33
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
19M. Koskinen(W)34331.9712.33+1.3360:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).