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Florida Panthers at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV FS-F, SNW·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Edmonton Oilers 6-2. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brian Boyle's goal at 1:58 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 63% to 79%. Expected goals were close — FLA 2.9, EDM 3.0; shots on goal were FLA 29, EDM 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 24 of 26 (.923), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Mikko Koskinen stopped 13 of 15 (.867), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. MacKenzie Weegar (2 A), 2. Leon Draisaitl (1 G, 1 A), 3. Aleksander Barkov (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    M. Weegar2 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    A. Barkov1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA01031138629
EDMEDM0709210226

Scoring

8 goals

2nd period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    0:31
  2. FLA
    wristxG 0.19win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    1:58
  3. FLA
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.23win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    2:36

3rd period

  1. FLA
    wrap-aroundxG 0.19win prob +3 pts
    4-0
    0:49
  2. EDM
    J. Neal(10)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +1 pts
    4-1
    3:37
  3. EDM
    snapxG 0.29win prob +2 pts
    4-2
    13:18
  4. FLA
    wristxG 0.66
    5-2
    18:36
  5. FLA
    snapxG 0.04
    6-2
    19:40

Penalties

FLA 6 PIM·EDM 2 PIM

1st

  • 13:05FLAJayce Hawryluk · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min
  • 16:37EDMSam Gagner · High stickingdrawn by Joshua Brown2 min

2nd

  • 6:49FLADryden Hunt · Interferencedrawn by Kris Russell2 min

3rd

  • 2:16FLAMark Pysyk · Boardingdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalFLA goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Brian Boyle, 2nd 1:58 — FLA 63% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.29C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.26L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.17C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.17Z. Kassian · Missed · xG 0.15R. Sheahan · Missed · xG 0.13C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.13J. Neal · Goal · xG 0.12R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.11C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.10J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.10C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.08J. Neal · Missed · xG 0.08D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.08J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.08C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.08P. Russell · On goal · xG 0.07J. Neal · Missed · xG 0.07T. Jurco · On goal · xG 0.06T. Jurco · Missed · xG 0.06R. Sheahan · Missed · xG 0.06L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.05C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.05J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.04S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.04E. Bear · Missed · xG 0.04B. Manning · On goal · xG 0.03P. Russell · On goal · xG 0.03K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.03J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.03R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.03R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.02R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.02O. Klefbom · Missed · xG 0.02O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.02O. Klefbom · Missed · xG 0.02O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.02O. Klefbom · Missed · xG 0.02D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.02J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.02O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.01R. Sheahan · Missed · xG 0.01M. Benning · Missed · xG 0.01J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM2 G · 3.0 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsEDM
2.95 G
All situations
2 G3.0
1.54 G
Even strength
0 G2.1
0.50 G
Power play
2 G0.6
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA36%64%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.21 – 3.00

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsEDM
29
Shots on goal
26
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/1
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
11
Hits
22
17
Blocked shots
13
12
Giveaways
13
7
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
52M. WeegarD022030.09320—22:25
5A. EkbladD101+110.13110—21:24
6A. StralmanD000+310.01140—20:51
13M. PysykD011+200.00012—19:18
3K. YandleD000+310.02000—18:22
16A. BarkovC011010.230104018:03
63E. DadonovL101+120.22000—17:00
11J. HuberdeauL011+100.001004716:30
7C. SceviourC000+120.16000016:29
55N. AcciariC101+230.330106016:27
2J. BrownD000+110.01010—15:33
77F. VatranoR101+140.76100—14:52
73D. HuntL000+100.01002—13:51
62D. MalginC011+120.180106713:37
9B. BoyleC112+230.343207513:33
68M. HoffmanC000+140.32000013:24
10B. ConnollyR022+200.00000—12:38
8J. HawrylukR112+210.09132—10:27
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(W)26242.9233.01+1.0160:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).