Florida Panthers at Edmonton Oilers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Florida Panthers beat the Edmonton Oilers 6-2. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brian Boyle's goal at 1:58 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 63% to 79%. Expected goals were close — FLA 2.9, EDM 3.0; shots on goal were FLA 29, EDM 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 24 of 26 (.923), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Mikko Koskinen stopped 13 of 15 (.867), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. MacKenzie Weegar (2 A), 2. Leon Draisaitl (1 G, 1 A), 3. Aleksander Barkov (1 A).
Three stars
- ★M. Weegar2 A

- ★★L. Draisaitl1 G, 1 A

- ★★★A. Barkov1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
8 goals2nd period
1-00:31
2-01:58
3-02:36
3rd period
4-00:49
4-13:37
4-213:18
5-218:36
6-219:40
Penalties
1st
- 13:05
Jayce Hawryluk · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min
- 16:37
Sam Gagner · High stickingdrawn by Joshua Brown2 min
2nd
- 6:49
Dryden Hunt · Interferencedrawn by Kris Russell2 min
3rd
- 2:16
Mark Pysyk · Boardingdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Brian Boyle, 2nd 1:58 — 63% → 79%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.95 G
- All situations
- 2 G3.0
- 1.54 G
- Even strength
- 0 G2.1
- 0.50 G
- Power play
- 2 G0.6
- 0.21 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.21 – 3.00
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 29
- Shots on goal
- 26
- 54%
- Faceoffs
- 46%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 1/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 2
- 11
- Hits
- 22
- 17
- Blocked shots
- 13
- 12
- Giveaways
- 13
- 7
- Takeaways
- 9
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
6@
2this game
4@
1Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
