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St. Louis Blues at Anaheim Ducks

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Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-2. The Blues led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zachary Sanford's goal at 17:13 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 47% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.6 to 2.3; shots on goal were STL 37, ANA 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Anthony Stolarz stopped 34 of 36 (.944), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan O'Reilly (2 A), 2. Jani Hakanpää (1 G), 3. Jake Allen (26 saves, .963).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    R. O'Reilly2 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    J. Hakanpää1 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Allen26 saves, .963

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL21619112437
ANAANA1911008227

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    xG 0.06
    1-1
    0:00
  2. STL
    xG 0.01
    1-1
    0:00
  3. STL
    slapxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    2-1
    16:08

2nd period

  1. ANA
    snapxG 0.04win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    13:28
  2. STL
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +22 pts
    3-2
    17:13

3rd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.49win prob +7 pts
    4-2
    19:00

Penalties

STL 2 PIM·ANA 4 PIM

1st

  • 4:05STLJaden Schwartz · Hookingdrawn by Danton Heinen2 min
  • 9:46ANAJani Hakanpää · Trippingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min
  • 15:12ANARyan Getzlaf · Trippingdrawn by Colton Parayko2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalSTL goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Zachary Sanford, 2nd 17:13 — STL 47% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.24S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.15A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.13D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.13S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.12D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.12S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.12J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.11J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.10R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.09M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.08C. Rowney · Missed · xG 0.06J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.06N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.06N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.06K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.06A. Henrique · Goal · xG 0.06J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.06R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.05J. Hakanpää · Goal · xG 0.04D. Backes · Missed · xG 0.04R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.03M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.03R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.03R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.03J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Del Zotto · Missed · xG 0.03R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.03J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Hakanpää · Missed · xG 0.02J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.02N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.02C. Djoos · Missed · xG 0.02N. Deslauriers · Missed · xG 0.02J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.02M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.01M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.01C. Djoos · On goal · xG 0.01M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.00
ANA2 G · 2.3 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsANA
3.63 G
All situations
2 G2.3
1.92 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
1.21 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL65%35%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.10 – 2.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsANA
37
Shots on goal
27
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
22
Hits
26
10
Blocked shots
13
14
Giveaways
19
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55C. ParaykoD000040.19010—24:03
6M. ScandellaD000030.11110—23:43
27A. PietrangeloD202+250.81100—22:37
72J. FaulkD011+240.09140—21:10
90R. O'ReillyC022000.050205818:37
17J. SchwartzL000+120.58202—18:23
20A. SteenL000010.18010—18:22
10B. SchennC011+120.170005017:52
57D. PerronL000+110.28000—16:50
49I. BarbashevL101+120.194005016:04
12Z. SanfordL101+110.19300—15:27
9S. BlaisL011020.16200—13:49
41R. BortuzzoD000-100.00410—13:30
29V. DunnD000-130.17100—13:17
18R. ThomasC000030.231003312:16
28M. MacEachernL000010.11200—11:56
70O. SundqvistC000020.080003311:56
33J. KyrouR011010.04000—08:56
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(W)27261.9632.24+1.2459:12

Season series

STL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).