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Anaheim Ducks at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-1. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Bozak's goal at 2:21 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.5 to 1.6; shots on goal were ANA 21, STL 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. John Gibson stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 1.5 goals below expected; Jake Allen stopped 20 of 21 (.952), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Allen (20 saves, .952), 2. Brayden Schenn (2 A), 3. Alexander Steen (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Allen20 saves, .952
  2. ★★
    STL
    B. Schenn2 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    A. Steen1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA1501006121
STLSTL1522217434

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    slapxG 0.03win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    7:53
  2. ANA
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    15:23

2nd period

  1. STL
    snapxG 0.17win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    2:21
  2. STL
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    9:41

3rd period

  1. STL
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +3 pts
    1-4
    10:29

Penalties

ANA 4 PIM·STL 6 PIM

2nd

  • 7:49ANAJosh Manson · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by David Perron2 min
  • 7:49STLDavid Perron · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Josh Manson2 min
  • 9:34ANAMax Jones · Hookingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min

3rd

  • 3:33STLDavid Perron · Hookingdrawn by Ondrej Kase2 min
  • 5:59STLDavid Perron · Trippingdrawn by Adam Henrique2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalANA goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Tyler Bozak, 2nd 2:21 — STL 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. MacEachern · On goal · xG 0.21T. Bozak · Goal · xG 0.17I. Barbashev · Goal · xG 0.16R. Bortuzzo · Missed · xG 0.13J. Schwartz · Goal · xG 0.13I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.12J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.11D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.10B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.09V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.09J. de la Rose · On goal · xG 0.09D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.08A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.07T. Bozak · Missed · xG 0.07J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.07I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.07J. Bouwmeester · On goal · xG 0.07R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.07O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.06B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.06D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.06A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.03I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.03J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.03J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.03A. Steen · Goal · xG 0.03Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.03V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.02J. de la Rose · On goal · xG 0.02V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.02N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.02R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.02D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.02R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.02R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.01V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.01T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.01
STL4 G · 2.5 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsSTL
1.61 G
All situations
4 G2.5
1.21 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 64 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA35%65%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.64 – 2.41

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsSTL
21
Shots on goal
34
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/2
Power play
1/1
4
Penalty minutes
6
18
Hits
16
10
Blocked shots
7
6
Giveaways
7
9
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD000-110.01000—24:12
47H. LindholmD000020.04020—21:12
34S. SteelC000-100.051104219:16
42J. MansonD000020.10302—18:55
67R. RakellR000-210.18100—18:53
6E. GudbransonD000-110.04320—18:20
25O. KaseR000000.0301010017:18
32J. LarssonD000-100.00120—16:47
44M. Del ZottoD000-110.05110—16:44
14A. HenriqueC000-120.130002916:35
15R. GetzlafC000-120.291004516:28
53M. ComtoisL101010.02000—14:47
49M. JonesL000030.29002—14:45
11D. SprongR000-120.14010—14:24
48I. LundestromC000020.161006314:21
24C. RowneyC000000.004005012:12
29D. ShoreC000000.000003011:24
20N. DeslauriersL000010.09200—11:20
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(L)34304.8822.46-1.5460:00

Season series

STL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).