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New York Rangers at Winnipeg Jets

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Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-1. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Chris Kreider's goal at 19:25 of the first period, which took the Rangers' chances from 47% to 62%. Expected goals were close — NYR 2.7, WPG 2.5; shots on goal were NYR 32, WPG 44. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 42 of 43 (.977), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Chris Kreider (2 G), 2. Mika Zibanejad (1 G, 1 A), 3. Igor Shesterkin (42 saves, .977).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    C. Kreider2 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin42 saves, .977

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR111110211432
WPGWPG013012119144

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    backhandxG 0.23win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    19:25

2nd period

  1. NYR
    C. Kreider(22)PPG
    wristxG 0.35win prob +13 pts
    2-0
    7:30

3rd period

  1. NYR
    J. Fast (16), A. Panarin (46)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +8 pts
    3-0
    0:53
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.28win prob +3 pts
    4-0
    1:28
  3. WPG
    wristxG 0.03win prob +2 pts
    4-1
    4:35

Penalties

NYR 10 PIM·WPG 4 PIM

1st

  • 8:12NYRTony DeAngelo · Interferencedrawn by Andrew Copp2 min

2nd

  • 0:16NYRJacob Trouba · Trippingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min
  • 7:14WPGGabriel Bourque · Hookingdrawn by Brady Skjei2 min
  • 14:31WPGPatrik Laine · Cross checkingdrawn by Ryan Lindgren2 min
  • 14:31NYRRyan Lindgren · Slashingdrawn by Patrik Laine2 min

3rd

  • 2:34NYRKaapo Kakko · Hookingdrawn by Neal Pionk2 min
  • 18:15NYRArtemi Panarin · Trippingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalNYR goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Chris Kreider, 1st 19:25 — NYR 47% → 62%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.18N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.16M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.15N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.14M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.11K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.09K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.08M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.07M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.07P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.06P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.06L. Shaw · Missed · xG 0.06N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.05P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.05K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.05J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.05A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.05B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.05N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.05K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.04N. Shore · Missed · xG 0.04P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.04N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.04B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.04P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.04P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.04G. Bourque · Missed · xG 0.04N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.03K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.03J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.03A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.03B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.03P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.03P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.03S. Niku · On goal · xG 0.02P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.02P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.02B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.02N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.02J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.02S. Niku · On goal · xG 0.01S. Niku · On goal · xG 0.01S. Niku · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.01N. Beaulieu · Missed · xG 0.01P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.01N. Beaulieu · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.01N. Beaulieu · On goal · xG 0.01J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.01G. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.01A. Bitetto · On goal · xG 0.01M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.01B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01S. Niku · Missed · xG 0.01
WPG1 G · 2.5 xG · 62 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsWPG
2.74 G
All situations
1 G2.5
2.33 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
0.41 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR54%46%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.67 – 2.44

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsWPG
32
Shots on goal
44
41%
Faceoffs
59%
1/1
Power play
0/4
10
Penalty minutes
4
15
Hits
16
19
Blocked shots
12
11
Giveaways
8
10
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8J. TroubaD000+140.12332—22:24
18M. StaalD000000.00210—21:07
55R. LindgrenD000020.02032—21:07
23A. FoxD000+110.02030—19:57
76B. SkjeiD000+100.00010—19:26
93M. ZibanejadC112+220.380005019:20
16R. StromeC112+160.620103619:05
10A. PanarinL011+140.37002—18:35
17J. FastR011000.00210—18:12
77T. DeAngeloD000+100.08202—16:18
20C. KreiderL202+250.74000—14:48
89P. BuchnevichL022+240.17000—14:29
72F. ChytilC000000.000002013:00
21B. HowdenC000-100.001106711:49
24K. KakkoR000-120.13002—11:21
33P. Di GiuseppeL000010.05020—10:39
14G. McKeggC000000.00120009:20
48B. LemieuxL000010.02410—09:18
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(W)43421.9772.45+1.4553:56
30H. Lundqvist1101.0000.03+0.0306:04

Season series

NYR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).