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Jets at Rangers
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
4
New York Rangers
▸6
FinalTV ESPN+, MSG·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Winnipeg Jets 6-4. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brett Howden's goal at 15:51 of the third period, which took the Rangers' chances from 52% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 4.3 to 3.1; shots on goal were WPG 47, NYR 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 26 of 31 (.839), 2.4 goals below expected; Henrik Lundqvist stopped 43 of 47 (.915). Three stars: 1. Mika Zibanejad (1 G, 3 A), 2. Jacob Trouba (1 G, 2 A), 3. Blake Wheeler (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    J. Trouba1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    B. Wheeler2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG113220114447
NYRNYR17214311632

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    M. Staal(1)
    M. Zibanejad (1), T. DeAngelo (1)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    11:35
  2. WPG
    M. Scheifele(1)
    N. Ehlers (1)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    17:23

2nd period

  1. NYR
    A. Panarin(1)PPG
    M. Zibanejad (2), J. Trouba (1)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    0:27
  2. WPG
    B. Wheeler(1)
    N. Ehlers (2), V. Heinola (1)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    0:57
  3. NYR
    J. Trouba(1)
    C. Kreider (1), A. Panarin (1)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    2-3
    6:03
  4. WPG
    B. Wheeler(2)
    N. Ehlers (3), D. Kulikov (1)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    3-3
    6:12

3rd period

  1. WPG
    K. Connor(1)PPG
    J. Morrissey (1), P. Laine (1)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +20 pts
    4-3
    2:41
  2. NYR
    M. Zibanejad(1)
    J. Trouba (2), L. Hajek (1)
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +28 pts
    4-4
    5:04
  3. NYR
    B. Howden(1)
    J. Fast (1), B. Skjei (1)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +39 pts
    4-5
    15:51
  4. NYR
    B. Smith(1)EN
    M. Zibanejad (3)
    wristxG 0.50win prob +6 pts
    4-6
    19:43

Penalties

WPG 4 PIM·NYR 10 PIM

1st

  • 1:15NYRRyan Strome · Trippingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min
  • 5:30NYRRyan Strome · High stickingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
  • 18:50WPGJosh Morrissey · Slashingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min

2nd

  • 3:58WPGserved by M. Perreault · Too many men on the icedrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min
  • 16:21NYRBrendan Lemieux · Roughingdrawn by Mason Appleton2 min

3rd

  • 1:59NYRBrady Skjei · Delaying game puck over glassdrawn by Gabriel Bourque2 min
  • 18:23NYRJesper Fast · Holdingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalWPG goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Brett Howden, 3rd 15:51 — NYR 52% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Smith · Goal · xG 0.50A. Panarin · Goal · xG 0.21M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.20C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.19C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.19B. Howden · Goal · xG 0.17B. Lemieux · Missed · xG 0.13L. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.12K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.12L. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.11V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.11M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.10R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.08M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.08M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.08K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.08V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.07B. Smith · Missed · xG 0.07J. Trouba · Goal · xG 0.07K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.06M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.05M. Staal · Goal · xG 0.04C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.04L. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.03M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.01M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.01M. Staal · Missed · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.01B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.01B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR6 G · 3.1 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsNYR
4.34 G
All situations
5 G3.1
3.03 G
Even strength
4 G2.0
1.31 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 104 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG73%27%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.12 – 2.60

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsNYR
47
Shots on goal
32
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/5
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
10
31
Hits
24
10
Blocked shots
18
11
Giveaways
24
5
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD011-120.05202—24:21
55M. ScheifeleC101+140.741005024:08
4N. PionkD000020.05420—23:13
26B. WheelerR202+190.93310—22:50
29P. LaineL011-340.47200—20:01
81K. ConnorL101-350.65000—19:51
7D. KulikovD011000.02220—18:41
14V. HeinolaD011010.03100—18:24
27N. EhlersL033+280.66000—18:14
2A. BitettoD000-120.05420—15:18
3T. PoolmanD000-110.05020—14:08
57G. BourqueL000-120.02200—14:01
9A. CoppC000-220.053006413:13
85M. PerreaultC000-230.181005013:12
17A. LowryC000-100.003005512:47
82M. AppletonC000000.01000008:54
28J. RoslovicC000020.241105008:38
22M. LetestuC000000.072007507:20
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)31265.8392.61-2.3959:09

Season series

NYR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).