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Coyotes at Maple Leafs
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
2
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸3
Final/OTTV FS-A, FS-A PLUS·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Utah Mammoth 3-2 in overtime, Kasperi Kapanen scoring at 3:43. The Coyotes scored first; the Maple Leafs answered. The Coyotes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kasperi Kapanen's goal at 3:43 of overtime, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 4.0 to 2.7; shots on goal were ARI 37, TOR 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Adin Hill stopped 38 of 41 (.927), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Jack Campbell stopped 35 of 37 (.946), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jack Campbell (35 saves, .946), 2. Zach Hyman (2 G), 3. Adin Hill (38 saves, .927).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    J. Campbell35 saves, .946
  2. ★★
    TOR
    Z. Hyman2 G
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    A. Hill38 saves, .927

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
ARIARI1121140803237
TORTOR11301011414341

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    C. Dvorak(17)
    C. Garland (14), O. Ekman-Larsson (17)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    1:04
  2. TOR
    Z. Hyman(15)
    T. Barrie (27), A. Kerfoot (15)
    slapxG 0.21win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    14:23

2nd period

  1. ARI
    C. Soderberg(14)
    B. Richardson (4), J. Chychrun (12)
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +24 pts
    2-1
    19:13

3rd period

  1. TOR
    Z. Hyman(16)
    J. Tavares (26), A. Kerfoot (16)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +25 pts
    2-2
    1:33

Overtime

  1. TOR
    K. Kapanen(11)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.20win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    3:43

Penalties

ARI 6 PIM·TOR 6 PIM

1st

  • 10:03ARIJakob Chychrun · Trippingdrawn by William Nylander2 min

2nd

  • 5:24TORJake Muzzin · Slashingdrawn by Derek Stepan2 min
  • 13:27ARINick Schmaltz · Slashingdrawn by Kasperi Kapanen2 min

3rd

  • 9:21TORKyle Clifford · Holding the stickdrawn by Ilya Lyubushkin2 min
  • 13:19ARIPhil Kessel · Trippingdrawn by Tyson Barrie2 min
  • 19:25TORZach Hyman · Trippingdrawn by Jakob Chychrun2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalARI goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Kasperi Kapanen, OT 3:43 — TOR 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.21Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.21K. Kapanen · Goal · xG 0.21A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.19A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.18J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.17T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.16K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.15J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.15J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.15M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.15Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.14Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.13A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.13P. Aberg · On goal · xG 0.12A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.10A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.10M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.09J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.09A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.09W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.08M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.08A. Johnsson · Missed · xG 0.08K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.07A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.07A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.07J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.06A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.06K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.06A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.06J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.05P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.04W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.03J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.03J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.02T. Dermott · On goal · xG 0.02R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.02T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.02W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.02A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.02T. Liljegren · Missed · xG 0.02T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.02J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.01J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.01K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.01J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.01J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.01T. Liljegren · Missed · xG 0.01K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.01J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.00P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.00T. Dermott · Missed · xG 0.00
TOR3 G · 4.0 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsTOR
2.72 G
All situations
3 G4.0
2.22 G
Even strength
3 G3.2
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI29%71%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.67 – 4.00

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsTOR
37
Shots on goal
41
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
18
Hits
15
17
Blocked shots
17
11
Giveaways
22
9
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33A. GoligoskiD000030.19140—25:37
6J. ChychrunD011+110.13102—25:24
23O. Ekman-LarssonD011-100.01110—23:04
91T. HallL000-170.50010—21:58
4N. HjalmarssonD000030.08020—21:51
21D. StepanC000-140.171103818:41
18C. DvorakC101-110.170006918:00
81P. KesselR000000.00002—17:49
83C. GarlandR011-110.16000—16:44
15B. RichardsonR011+130.381205014:24
67L. CrouseL000030.18610—14:08
34C. SoderbergC101+140.40000013:35
13V. HinostrozaC000020.13000013:26
82J. OesterleD000-110.05010—13:12
8N. SchmaltzC000000.000024012:54
9C. KellerR000-120.09010—12:40
46I. LyubushkinD000010.03130—12:28
36C. FischerR000+110.07600—10:44
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Hill(O)41383.9274.01+1.0163:43

Season series

TOR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).