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Predators at Flames
NHL

Nashville Predators at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
▸3
Calgary Flames
2
FinalTV FS-TN, SN1·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Calgary Flames 3-2. The Flames scored first; the Predators answered. The Predators led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Rasmus Andersson's goal at 11:06 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 16% to 34%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 2.3 to 1.9; shots on goal were NSH 35, CGY 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 37 of 39 (.949); Cam Talbot stopped 32 of 35 (.914), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Roman Josi (2 A), 2. Rasmus Andersson (1 G), 3. Travis Hamonic (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    R. Josi2 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    R. Andersson1 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    T. Hamonic1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH212111012335
CGYCGY11611409239

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    S. Bennett(5)
    T. Hamonic (9), M. Backlund (18)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:33
  2. NSH
    D. Fabbro(5)
    R. Josi (38), M. Granlund (9)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +11 pts
    1-1
    1:49
  3. NSH
    K. Turris(7)
    M. Ekholm (24), F. Forsberg (20)
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    11:43

2nd period

  1. NSH
    M. Granlund(12)PPG
    R. Josi (39), K. Turris (17)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    3-1
    9:06
  2. CGY
    R. Andersson(4)
    M. Tkachuk (26), E. Lindholm (19)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    11:06

Penalties

NSH 4 PIM·CGY 2 PIM

2nd

  • 2:48NSHDan Hamhuis · Trippingdrawn by Derek Ryan2 min
  • 8:09CGYDillon Dube · Trippingdrawn by Roman Josi2 min
  • 11:16NSHJarred Tinordi · High stickingdrawn by Derek Ryan2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalNSH goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Rasmus Andersson, 2nd 11:06 — CGY 16% → 34%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Rieder · On goal · xG 0.13A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.13S. Bennett · Goal · xG 0.12S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.11A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.11S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.10T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.08J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.08M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.08D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.08R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.08M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.07J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.07M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.06T. Brodie · Missed · xG 0.06M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.06M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.05A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.05B. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.04E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.04E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.04A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.04J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.03D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.03R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Davidson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.02M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Rieder · On goal · xG 0.02T. Brodie · Missed · xG 0.02R. Andersson · Goal · xG 0.02D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.02M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.01T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.01T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY2 G · 2.3 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsCGY
1.93 G
All situations
2 G2.3
1.62 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH42%58%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.86 – 2.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsCGY
35
Shots on goal
39
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
17
Hits
21
25
Blocked shots
16
9
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
14M. EkholmD011+150.09140—25:49
57D. FabbroD101-130.13040—24:36
59R. JosiD022-160.42120—23:58
24J. TinordiD000+110.07132—23:16
64M. GranlundC112+120.10110019:44
8K. TurrisC112+110.102005618:47
13N. BoninoC000-200.001304116:57
95M. DucheneC000+130.2801010015:57
92R. JohansenC000+100.001106315:01
15C. SmithC000+100.0022010014:53
10C. SissonsC000010.091005014:25
9F. ForsbergL011060.35110—14:06
33V. ArvidssonL000-120.0710010012:49
5D. HamhuisD000010.03102—12:20
23R. GrimaldiR000-200.03000—11:53
42C. BlackwellC000000.00130010:57
7Y. WeberD000000.00100—10:19
32Y. TreninC000040.12100010:13
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(W)39372.9492.28+0.2860:00

Season series

NSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).